28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti Liga I prediction & result

Cluj Arena, Cluj-Napoca
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Universitatea Cluj 2-3 Petrolul Ploiesti.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Universitatea Cluj, 25% draw, 20% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Cluj at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Universitatea Cluj0%Draw5%Petrolul Ploiesti95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽A. J. Bran Floresassist: R. Martins
⚽J. Lukic
11'
34'
⚽R. Jerdea
🔁P. Pinhoout: A. Friday
46'
49'
⚽D. N'Lundulu
⚽J. Lukicassist: D. Nistor
55'
🔁D. Mikanovicout: A. Aliev
58'
🔁D. Nistorout: M. Stefanescu
58'
61'
🔁R. Jerdeaout: Lucho Vega
Marius Ștefănescu
62'
64'
Paul Papp
76'
🔁R. Martinsout: T. Capusa
76'
🔁D. N'Lunduluout: A. Zaian
76'
🔁M. Tutuout: D. Paraschiv
🔁D. Codreaout: F. Poulolo
79'
Issouf Macalou
80'
81'
🔁S. Hancaout: C. Huseynov
90+4'
Alejandro Bran

Match stats — Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

70%Possession30%
23Shots11
9On target8
10Corners4

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj 4-3-1-2
  • 1S. LefterG
  • 24D. MikanovicD
  • 6L. CristeaD
  • 8D. CodreaD
  • 27A. ChipciuD
  • 7M. DrammehM
  • 94O. BicM
  • 18P. PinhoM
  • 10D. NistorM
  • 17J. LukicF
  • 19I. MacalouF
Substitutes
  • 93N. MichailG
  • 21D. MoldovanG
  • 12A. FridayM
  • 22F. PouloloD
  • 26J. CisseD
  • 2A. ChintesD
  • 59A. TecheresD
  • 98G. SimionM
  • 25A. AlievF
Coach: Cristiano Bergodi
Petrolul Ploiesti 4-1-4-1
  • 38L. ZimaG
  • 22M. TutuD
  • 4P. PappD
  • 71B. MalulaD
  • 2A. DumitrescuD
  • 20S. HancaM
  • 19L. Santos TeixeiraM
  • 98R. JerdeaM
  • 10A. J. Bran FloresM
  • 7R. MartinsM
  • 9D. N'LunduluF
Substitutes
  • 1S. RadulescuG
  • 66T. CapusaD
  • 29K. LudewigD
  • 18C. HuseynovD
  • 24A. ZaianD
  • 8Lucho VegaM
  • 80M. IonitaM
  • 21D. ParaschivM
  • 28M. CostacheM
Coach: Ricardo Sousa

Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Universitatea Cluj

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti22 August 2026
  • W2-1Uta Arad17 August 2026
  • W2-1FC Botosani3 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Brann30 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 July 2026

Petrolul Ploiesti

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Rapid21 August 2026
  • W2-1away to FC Voluntari14 August 2026
  • W1-0Oțelul7 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026

What these results say

  • Universitatea Cluj conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
  • Petrolul Ploiesti conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Universitatea Cluj158252620+626
4Petrolul Ploiesti158342018+227

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

  • 14 December 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • 9 August 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
  • 14 December 2024Universitatea Cluj 4–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
  • 12 August 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • 13 April 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
  • 11 November 2023Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti

Universitatea Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • J. Lukić73
  • A. Aliev62

Petrolul Ploiesti

GoalsAssists

  • A. Bran43
  • Rodrigo Martins42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Petrolul Ploiesti won 3–2 at Universitatea Cluj. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Cluj at 55% and given a win for Petrolul Ploiesti 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: A. J. Bran Flores 3' for Petrolul Ploiesti, J. Lukic 11' for Universitatea Cluj, R. Jerdea 34' for Petrolul Ploiesti, D. N'Lundulu 49' for Petrolul Ploiesti, J. Lukic 55' for Universitatea Cluj.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.