Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Cluj 2-3 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Universitatea Cluj, 25% draw, 20% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Cluj at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti22 August 2026
- W2-1Uta Arad17 August 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti
- L0-2Rapid21 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Universitatea Cluj | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti
- 14 December 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 9 August 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 14 December 2024Universitatea Cluj 4–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 12 August 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 13 April 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 11 November 2023Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
- A. Aliev5 goals2 assists
Petrolul Ploiesti
- B. Malula3 goals
- D. Nlundulu3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.