Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Celta de Vigo II 0-4 Eibar.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Celta de Vigo II, 29% draw, 32% Eibar — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Celta de Vigo II at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar
Line-ups
- 1Coke CarrilloG
- 21Alexis OlmedoD
- 3K. RibesD
- 20A. RodriguezD
- 23G. MillerM
- 29M. SobralM
- 16Adrià CapdevilaM
- 18Joel LópezM
- 10O. MarcosF
- 9A. MarinF
- 11Ángel ArcosF
- 13Caio BaroneG
- 17H. CuencaM
- 19A. Davila OutereloF
- 2P. GavianD
- 25M. GonzalezG
- 6P. MeixusD
- 28Vladimir Henrique SilvaF
- 15A. KibetM
- 32H. LopezM
- 13Jon MikelG
- 2Sergio CuberoD
- 18M. AranaD
- 4Unai ElgezabalD
- 23Anaitz ArbillaD
- 30Aleix GarridoM
- 8Ander MadariagaM
- 7Malcom AduM
- 11Jon MagunazelaiaM
- 10Jon GuruzetaM
- 9Jon BautistaF
- 27Elijah Gift Izobodo JohnF
- 21Iván GilM
- 20Javi MartónF
- 34Oier LlorenteD
- 17PejiñoF
- 22Álvaro RodríguezD
- 36Haritz OrtuzarD
- 28Lucas NuñezM
- 1Luis LópezG
Form going into Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar
Celta de Vigo II
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC5 September 2026
- L1-2Castellón31 August 2026
- W4-2FC Andorra24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Cadiz15 August 2026
Eibar
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Granada CF6 September 2026
- W1-0away to FC Andorra30 August 2026
- W1-0Valladolid23 August 2026
- L1-3Tenerife16 August 2026
What these results say
- Celta de Vigo II scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Eibar scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Eibar won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Eibar kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 13 |
| 6 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Celta de Vigo II and Eibar
Celta de Vigo II
GoalsAssists
- A. Marin81
Eibar
GoalsAssists
- Iván Gil41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Eibar won 4–0 at Celta de Vigo II. The model had leaned towards a win for Celta de Vigo II at 39% and given a win for Eibar 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jon Magunazelaia 9' for Eibar, Malcom Ares 13' for Eibar, jon guruzeta 20' for Eibar, jon guruzeta 43' for Eibar. Sent off: Fredi (Celta de Vigo II) 53'.
How the call on Celta de Vigo II v Eibar has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Celta de Vigo II's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Celta de Vigo II win39%▼ −2
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Eibar win32%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.