23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Full time4 – 0

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 Cukaricki.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% FK Crvena Zvezda, 19% draw, 25% Cukaricki — fair odds of 1.79, 5.26 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Crvena Zvezda99%Draw1%Cukaricki0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
🔁V. Radosavljevicout: N. Grujic
Loizos Loizou
29'
⚽T. Handelassist: A. Katai
35'
46'
🔁out: U. Nikolic
46'
🔁M. Pavkovout: D. Fekete
⚽K. Balovassist: M. Abu Fani
47'
⚽L. Loizouassist: K. Balov
56'
59'
🔁A. Ouedraogoout: N. Tomovic
🔁K. Balovout: V. Lucic
65'
🔁T. Handelout: D. Saric
65'
Matej Strika
71'
⚽D. Saricassist: V. Lucic
72'
🔁M. Strikaout: S. Gudelj
74'
🔁L. Loizouout: J. Enem
74'
74'
🔁M. Docicout: A. Bajovic
78'
Uroš Miladinović
🔁M. Bajoout: T. Elsnik
83'

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki

60%Possession40%
16Shots10
10On target3
3Corners2

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 4-1-4-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
  • 60M. Gashtarov
  • 5RodrigoD
  • 27M. StrikaD
  • 6M. BajoM
  • 75L. LoizouM
  • 20T. HandelM
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 8K. BalovM
  • 10A. KataiF
Substitutes
  • 77I. GutesaG
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 66Seol Young-WooD
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 33R. KrunicM
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 4M. IvanicM
  • 37V. LucicM
  • 14O. BukariM
Coach: Albert Riera
Cukaricki 4-2-3-1
  • 81V. Carapic
  • 73N. MileticD
  • 23I. MaigaD
  • 19A. OuedraogoD
  • 3Z. SehovicD
  • 14S. SissokoM
  • 5M. DocicM
  • 20A. Cisse
  • 10U. Miladinovic
  • 86V. RadosavljevicM
  • 50M. PavkovF
Substitutes
  • 1D. NikolicG
  • 4N. TomovicD
  • 16S. AndjelicD
  • 77A. BajovicM
  • 55A. IlicM
  • 72U. NikolicM
  • 30N. MirkovicM
  • 6V. ZuricD
  • 29D. FeketeF
Coach: Marko Jaksic

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • W3-0Plzen20 August 2026
  • L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva11 August 2026
  • W2-0Novi Pazar8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026
  • W5-0Larne29 July 2026

Cukaricki

  • W2-0OFK Beograd15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda8710192+1722
9Cukaricki93241116-511

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki

  • 23 August 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 4–0 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 4 May 2026Cukaricki 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 1 February 2026Cukaricki 1–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 4 December 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 22 December 2024FK Crvena Zvezda 5–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 15 August 2024Cukaricki 1–4 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Crvena Zvezda and Cukaricki

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • V. Kostov4 goals1 assists

Cukaricki

  • U. Miladinović4 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.