Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Radomiak Radom 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Radomiak Radom, 24% draw, 41% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 2.86, 4.17 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zaglebie Lubin at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Filip MajchrowiczG
- 24Zié OuattaraD
- 3Kryspin SzcześniakD
- 72Filip KoperskiD
- 13Jan GrzesikD
- 77Christos DonisM
- 7Ché NunnelyM
- 27Rafał WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 90Ronaldo LumungoM
- 11Fernand GouréF
- 28Romário BaróM
- 15Abdoul TapsobaF
- 23Kacper KarasekM
- 18ManuF
- 8Ibrahima CamaráM
- 99Bartlomiej GradeckiG
- 44Wiktor KoptasG
- 5Jérémy BlascoD
- 33Oskar MarkiewiczD
- 33Zlatan AlomerovićG
- 13Mateusz GrzybekD
- 4Damian MichalskiD
- 5Aleks ŁawniczakD
- 16Josip ĆorlukaD
- 39Filip KocabaM
- 44Marcel RegulaM
- 37Sebastian KerkM
- 8Damian DąbrowskiM
- 18Filip SzymczakF
- 7Jakub SypekF
- 3Roman YakubaD
- 26Jakub KolanM
- 71Kamil NowogońskiM
- 88Mihael MlinarićF
- 9Michalis KosidisF
- 1Jasmin BurićG
- 31Igor OrlikowskiD
- 38Szymon KarasinskiD
- 94Maciej UrbańskiD
Form going into Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
Zaglebie Lubin
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw15 August 2026
- L1-3away to Legia Warszawa2 August 2026
- W2-0Piast Gliwice27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Lubin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
- 23 August 2026Radomiak Radom 0–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 11 April 2026Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 4 October 2025Radomiak Radom 3–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 25 September 2025Radomiak Radom 0–2 Zaglebie LubinCup
- 5 April 2025Radomiak Radom 0–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 29 September 2024Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
- R. Wolski3 goals
Zaglebie Lubin
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.