23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan Super Liga prediction & result

Full time3 – 1

Final score: Mladost Lucani 3-1 FK Partizan.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Mladost Lucani, 27% draw, 21% FK Partizan — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mladost Lucani at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mladost Lucani99%Draw1%FK Partizan0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Samson Nwulu
⚽V. Tasovskiassist: J. Ciric
12'
⚽M. Todosijevicassist: A. Varjacic
36'
Vasil Tašovski
44'
46'
🔁O. Ugresicout: M. Vukotic
46'
🔁C. Traoreout: D. Seck
46'
🔁E. Kojzekout: Jeh
🔁M. Todosijevicout: John Mary
52'
54'
🔁M. Milovanovicout: S. Petrovic
Aleksandar Varjačić
56'
🔁M. Cvetkovicout: N. Petrovic
63'
64'
🔁M. Aleksicout: B. Kostic
⚽N. Cirkovic
69'
🔁V. Kijevcaninout: F. Zunic
78'
🔁J. Ciricout: N. Radic
78'
83'
⚽D. Seck

Match stats — Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan

31%Possession69%
9Shots22
6On target9
0Corners2

Line-ups

Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
  • 1S. StamenkovicG
  • 17A. VarjacicD
  • 7N. AndricD
  • 30N. CirkovicD
  • 12M. JoksimovicD
  • 44M. CvetkovicD
  • 88V. TasovskiM
  • 29D. JovancicM
  • 5V. KijevcaninM
  • 25J. Ciric
  • 22M. TodosijevicF
Substitutes
  • 21N. PopovicG
  • 28N. BoranijasevicD
  • 3N. PetrovicD
  • 20A. MilosevicD
  • 14T. BondarenkoD
  • 9P. BojicM
  • 24V. MarkovicM
  • 18F. ZunicD
  • 27N. RadicM
Coach: Radovan Curcic
FK Partizan 4-2-3-1
  • 31M. KrunicG
  • 20S. NwuluD
  • 44S. MilicD
  • 23S. MitrovicD
  • 5M. MilovanovicD
  • 36O. UgresicM
  • 17M. AleksicM
  • 27N. CumicM
  • 10I. MiladinovicM
  • 7C. TraoreM
  • 9E. KojzekF
Substitutes
  • 1M. MilosevicG
  • 33S. PetrovicD
  • 24V. DjurdjevicD
  • 40N. SimicD
  • 90Z. AlilovicM
  • 14I. BabaM
  • 11M. VukoticM
  • 99B. KosticF
  • 19D. SeckF
Coach: Sasa Ilic

Form going into Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan

Mladost Lucani

  • W1-0away to Zemun16 August 2026

FK Partizan

  • L0-1Radnicki 192316 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Mladost Lucani9342811-313
13FK Partizan82151315-27

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan

  • 23 August 2026Mladost Lucani 3–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 21 March 2026Mladost Lucani 1–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 24 October 2025FK Partizan 3–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 17 May 2025Mladost Lucani 0–4 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 26 February 2025FK Partizan 2–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 29 September 2024Mladost Lucani 1–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan

Mladost Lucani

  • Vasil Tasovski3 goals
  • João3 goals

FK Partizan

  • E. Kojzek2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.