8 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Full time2 – 0

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Novi Pazar.

Before kick-off the model made it 79% FK Crvena Zvezda, 13% draw, 8% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 1.27, 7.69 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 79% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Crvena Zvezda99%Draw1%Novi Pazar0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Timi Max Elšnik
29'
⚽A. Kataiassist: M. Ivanic
45'
Miloš Veljković
56'
⚽J. Enemassist: A. Katai
58'
Savo Radanović
61'
•Savo Radanović
61'
🔁L. Loizouout: Matheus
64'
🔁M. Chamout: V. Kostov
64'
66'
Jovan Marinković
67'
🔁D. Johnson Agwomout: Jonny
🔁M. Ivanicout: M. Abu Fani
73'
🔁A. Kataiout: O. Bukari
73'
76'
🔁D. Sadiout: D. Jankovic
76'
🔁P. Gadioout: M. Petrovic
83'
🔁V. Kotzebueout: B. Adzic
83'
🔁K. Dixonout: N. Skrobonja
🔁J. Enemout: S. Erakovic
88'
Strahinja Eraković
90+4'

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar

54%Possession46%
19Shots13
7On target6
3Corners5

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 4-1-4-1
  • 50S. Radanovic
  • 66Seol Young-WooD
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 23N. TiknizyanD
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 75L. LoizouM
  • 70M. ChamM
  • 4M. IvanicM
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 9J. EnemF
Substitutes
  • 1MatheusG
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 25S. ErakovicD
  • 17Bruno DuarteF
  • 8K. BalovF
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 27M. StrikaD
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 14O. BukariM
Coach: Dejan Stankovic
Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. MatijasevicG
  • 2A. MiljkovicD
  • 4A. HadzimujovicD
  • 23J. MarinkovicD
  • 50T. DadicD
  • 6P. GadioM
  • 24I. DavidovicM
  • 26D. Johnson AgwomM
  • 10D. SadiM
  • 20K. DixonM
  • 9V. KotzebueF
Substitutes
  • 12M. PrekovicG
  • 32B. AdzicD
  • 3V. MirosavicD
  • 11N. Skrobonja
  • 14N. StankovicM
  • 7JonnyF
  • 70D. JankovicM
  • 5S. MelentijevicD
  • 21M. PetrovicM
Coach: Strahinja Pandurovic

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026
  • W5-0Larne29 July 2026
  • W4-0away to Larne21 July 2026

Novi Pazar

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda8710192+1722
7Novi Pazar933389-112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar

  • 8 August 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
  • 9 May 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Novi PazarSuper Liga
  • 5 March 2026Novi Pazar 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaCup
  • 7 February 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 5–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
  • 31 August 2025Novi Pazar 1–5 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 17 May 2025Novi Pazar 3–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Crvena Zvezda and Novi Pazar

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • V. Kostov4 goals1 assists

Novi Pazar

  • K. Dixon2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.