FK Jablonec vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: FK Jablonec 1-0 Slovácko.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% FK Jablonec, 28% draw, 27% Slovácko — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Jablonec at 45% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 3 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FK Jablonec vs Slovácko
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99Klemen MihelakG
- 18Martin CedidlaD
- 4Nemanja TekijaškiD
- 15Dušan PavlovićD
- 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
- 25Sebastian NebylaM
- 6Nelson OkekeM
- 21Matěj PolidarM
- 10Jan SuchanF
- 9Antonín RůsekF
- 19Jan ChramostaF
- 20Jiří SlámaD
- 13Richard SedláčekM
- 44Lamin JawoF
- 8Filip ZorvanM
- 14Daniel SoučekD
- 1Jan HanušG
- 57Filip NovákD
- 23Eduard SobolD
- 42Matej MalenšekF
- 29Milan HečaG
- 21Simon SloncikD
- 22Jocelin BehiratcheD
- 4Andrej StojchevskiD
- 2Gigli NdefeM
- 26Tihomir KostadinovM
- 10Michal TrávníkM
- 15Patrik BlahútM
- 20Marek HavlíkF
- 27Artur DolznikovF
- 7Giannis NiarchosF
- 34Pavel HalouskaG
- 24Martin KoscelníkD
- 13Ousman CeesayF
- 9Alan MarinelliF
- 16Gibril SossehM
- 33Urban AlexandrG
- 23David ŠtěpánekD
- 19Tomas KralD
- 6Martin ŠviderskýM
Form going into FK Jablonec vs Slovácko
FK Jablonec
- W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026
- W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
- W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
- W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
- L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026
Slovácko
- D1-1Artis1 August 2026
- L1-5away to Slavia Praha26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs Slovácko
- 9 August 2026FK Jablonec 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 7 February 2026FK Jablonec 0–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 30 August 2025Slovácko 0–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 9 February 2025FK Jablonec 4–2 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 31 August 2024Slovácko 0–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 9 March 2024Slovácko 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: FK Jablonec and Slovácko
FK Jablonec
- M. Cedidla3 goals
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.