9 August 2026, 17:15 UTC

Antwerp vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Bosuilstadion
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Antwerp 2-1 SK Beveren.

Before kick-off the model made it 74% Antwerp, 14% draw, 12% SK Beveren — fair odds of 1.35, 7.14 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Antwerp at 74% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Antwerp96%Draw4%SK Beveren0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
🔁V. Booneout: Y. Gomis
29'
Chris Lokesa
29'
⚽C. Lokesaassist: C. Bruls
40'
Sieben Dewaele
🔁S. Rendersout: L. Schelfhout
46'
🔁E. Tuypensout: C. Mejia
46'
⚽M. Freyassist: J. Ahoka
62'
🔁I. Salahout: A. Valencia
66'
🔁M. Fofanaout: G. Vandeplas
66'
67'
🔁K. Abrahamsout: J. Margaritha
67'
🔁F. Slegersout: G. De Schryver
🔁out: G. Hairemans
80'
80'
🔁B. Godeauout: D. Thompson
80'
🔁C. Lokesaout: C. Conde
82'
Jearl Margaritha
⚽M. Freyassist: T. Somers
86'
Anthony Valencia
90+5'
90+1'
Christian Brüls

Match stats — Antwerp vs SK Beveren

50%Possession50%
19Shots10
7On target4
5Corners3
2.2xG0.95

Goals against chances

Antwerp2 from 2.20 xGabout what the chances were worth
SK Beveren1 from 0.95 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Antwerp 4-2-3-1
  • 41T. NozawaG
  • 17S. RendersD
  • 4Y. TsunashimaD
  • 20R. Van HeldenD
  • 27E. Tuypens
  • 6J. AhokaM
  • 14X. DierckxM
  • 24T. SomersM
  • 25M. FofanaM
  • 77I. SalahM
  • 9M. FreyF
Substitutes
  • 81N. Devalckeneer
  • 11G. HairemansM
  • 7A. ValenciaF
  • 18G. VandeplasF
  • 44M. BusiD
  • 30C. ScottM
  • 99L. NarhF
  • 28L. SchelfhoutD
  • 80C. MejiaF
Coach: Faris Haroun
SK Beveren 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. SchenkG
  • 21L. JansD
  • 3V. BooneD
  • 31B. GodeauD
  • 4C. JanssensD
  • 18S. DewaeleM
  • 8F. SlegersM
  • 34K. AbrahamsM
  • 22C. BrulsM
  • 5C. LokesaM
  • 92L. MertensF
Substitutes
  • 84J. LusambaG
  • 2D. ThompsonD
  • 44C. CondeM
  • 17J. MargarithaF
  • 14L. KuavitaM
  • 6D. RigoM
  • 10G. De SchryverM
  • 35Y. GomisD
  • 11J. DioufF
Coach: Marink Reedijk

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Antwerp62131113-27
8SK Beveren6303710-39

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Antwerp vs SK Beveren

  • 9 August 2026Antwerp 2–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
  • 10 November 2022SK Beveren 2–2 AntwerpCup
  • 29 January 2021Antwerp 3–2 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
  • 20 December 2020SK Beveren 0–3 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 6 December 2019SK Beveren 0–4 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 4 August 2019Antwerp 4–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Antwerp and SK Beveren

Antwerp

  • M. Frey4 goals
  • A. Valencia3 goals

SK Beveren

  • C. Lokesa3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.