Slavia Praha vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 2-1 Pardubice.
Before kick-off the model made it 84% Slavia Praha, 10% draw, 6% Pardubice — fair odds of 1.19, 10.00 and 16.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 84% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 4David ZimaD
- 43Elias PitakM
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 15Mubarak SuleimanM
- 17Lukáš ProvodF
- 10Danijel ŠturmF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
- 16David MosesM
- 32Pavel KačorM
- 20Emmanuel AyaosiM
- 26Ivan SchranzF
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 14Samuel IsifeD
- 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
- 12Youssoupha MbodjiD
- 46Vladimir NeumanG
- 43Jason NoslinD
- 44Simon BammensD
- 12Jan TrédlD
- 15Emmanuel GodwinM
- 8Samuel ŠimekM
- 24Tomáš SolilM
- 40Tobias BoledovicM
- 20Abdoull TankoF
- 9Daniel SmékalF
- 10Vojtěch PatrákF
- 19Michal HlavatýM
- 6Marek IchaD
- 17Václav DrchalF
- 99KahuanF
- 35Victor SamuelF
- 1Jáchym ŠerákG
- 92Bohdan SlyubykD
- 27Martin ReilD
- 7Dominique SimonM
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
Slavia Praha
- W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026
- W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026
Pardubice
- L0-2FK Jablonec2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 20 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
- 9 August 2026Slavia Praha 2–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 1 February 2026Pardubice 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 23 August 2025Slavia Praha 3–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 8 February 2025Pardubice 0–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 1 September 2024Slavia Praha 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 29 June 2024Slavia Praha 1–1 PardubiceFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Pardubice
Slavia Praha
- W. Nowak5 goals1 assists
- M. Chytil4 goals
- E. Ayaosi3 goals1 assists
Pardubice
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.