Zlin vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 0-2 Bohemians 1905.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Zlin, 25% draw, 44% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bohemians 1905 at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Bohemians 1905
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17Stanislav DostalG
- 23Miloš KopečnýD
- 24Jakub ČernínD
- 28Jakub KolarD
- 22Michal FukalaD
- 19Cletus NombilM
- 35Ondrej KukuckaM
- 10Stanislav PetrutaM
- 4Tom UlbrichM
- 20Frank AppiahM
- 88Tomáš PoznarF
- 82Marián PišojaM
- 31Lukas BartosakD
- 53Tomas HellebrandM
- 9Daniel ŠmigaF
- 34Milan KnoblochG
- 21David GrygeraD
- 11Adam GažiM
- 39Antonín KřapkaD
- 26Michal CupakM
- 23Tomáš FrühwaldG
- 24Milan HavelD
- 8David HeidenreichD
- 3Matej KadlecD
- 32Petr MirvaldM
- 6Benson SakalaM
- 42Vojtěch SmržM
- 37Dominik JavorčekM
- 16Roman KvetF
- 99Ladislav AlmásiF
- 10Jan MatoušekF
- 47Aleš ČermákM
- 25Peter KareemD
- 12Michal ReichlG
- 71Jakub ŠimanG
- 22Jan VondraD
- 15Mathews BandaD
- 18Denis VálaD
- 13Vladimir ZemanF
- 19Jan KovaříkM
Form going into Zlin vs Bohemians 1905
Zlin
- L1-3away to Sparta Praha31 July 2026
- L0-1Baník Ostrava25 July 2026
Bohemians 1905
- D0-0Hradec Králové2 August 2026
- L1-3away to Teplice25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 0 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Bohemians 1905
- 8 August 2026Zlin 0–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 11 April 2026Bohemians 1905 2–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 8 November 2025Zlin 0–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 19 May 2024Zlin 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 16 March 2024Zlin 2–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 7 October 2023Bohemians 1905 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Bohemians 1905
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Bohemians 1905
- L. Almási3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.