8 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Foolad FC 2-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% Foolad FC, 22% draw, 16% Mes Shahr-e Babak — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Foolad FC at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Naderpour (OG)
37'
45'
M. Azhir
🔁M. Ghoreishiout: A. Saedi
46'
A. Jolani
46'
⚽A. Jolani
51'
60'
🔁M. Tajikout: O. Nafez
60'
🔁M. Abdollahiout: H. Eftekhari
68'
🔁A. Karbalaeiout: G. Pouria
70'
⚽Z. Niknafs
🔁M. Sarlakout: M. Mohammadi
71'
🔁Y. Mazraeout: A. Bagheri
71'
75'
M. Mohammadi
78'
🔁M. Raoufimaneshout: A. Enayatzadeh
🔁A. Jolaniout: A. Attar
81'
🔁E. Mahrooghiout: G. Latifi
81'
83'
M. Azhir
83'
M. Azhir
F. Ahmadzadeh
83'

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Foolad FC12651126+623
18Mes Shahr-e Babak12057723-165

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak

  • 15 September 2018Foolad FC 2–0 Mes Shahr-e BabakHazfi Cup

The result against the call

Foolad FC beat Mes Shahr-e Babak 2–1. The model had made a win for Foolad FC its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: M. Naderpour (own goal) 37' for Foolad FC, A. Jolani 51' for Foolad FC, Z. Niknafs 70' for Mes Shahr-e Babak. Sent off: M. Azhir (Mes Shahr-e Babak) 83'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Foolad FC a 18.2% chance to finish in the top four: 22.3% after a win, 10.2% after a draw, 5.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.3%, 4.1 points higher than before the match.

For Mes Shahr-e Babak the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 68.3% going in: 36.6% after a win, 63.5% after a draw, 75.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 75.5%, 7.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Foolad FC v Mes Shahr-e Babak has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 55% / 25% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 62% / 22% / 16%: the biggest move is Foolad FC's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Foolad FC win62%▲ +7
  2. Draw22%▼ −3
  3. Mes Shahr-e Babak win16%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.