8 October 2026, 13:15 UTC

Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Gol Gohar Sport Complex, Sirjan
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Gol Gohar 3-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Gol Gohar, 23% draw, 22% Esteghlal Khuzestan — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gol Gohar at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gol Gohar99%Draw1%Esteghlal Khuzestan0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Aliyariassist: A. Zendehrouh
25'
M. Goudarzi
34'
47'
S. Bazgir
M. Kor
53'
🔁L. Ben Hassineout: A. Ashouri
65'
🔁M. Najjarianout: S. Sahraei
65'
⚽M. Abbasiassist: M. Aliyari
69'
🔁M. Aliyariout: M. Kazemian
81'
🔁P. Ghazipourout: M. Fakhrian
88'
M. Abbasi
88'
🔁M. Abbasiout: S. Nemati
88'
⚽M. Fakhrianassist: M. Goudarzi
90+7'

Form going into Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Gol Gohar

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026

Esteghlal Khuzestan

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Gol Gohar11425109+114
13Esteghlal Khuzestan12255916-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

  • 28 November 2025Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 25 January 2025Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 22 August 2024Gol Gohar 2–0 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 18 April 2024Gol Gohar 2–2 Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 3 November 2023Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Gol Gohar beat Esteghlal Khuzestan 3–0. The model had made a win for Gol Gohar its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Aliyari 25' for Gol Gohar, M. Abbasi 69' for Gol Gohar, M. Fakhrian 90+7' for Gol Gohar.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Gol Gohar a 9.2% chance to finish in the top four: 13.4% after a win, 2.9% after a draw, 2.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.4%, 4.2 points higher than before the match.

For Esteghlal Khuzestan the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 36.0% going in: 14.7% after a win, 32.6% after a draw, 44.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 44.3%, 8.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Gol Gohar v Esteghlal Khuzestan has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 49% / 26% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 55% / 23% / 22%: the biggest move is Gol Gohar's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Gol Gohar win55%▲ +6
  2. Draw23%▼ −3
  3. Esteghlal Khuzestan win22%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.