Brann vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Brann 3-0 Ham-Kam.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Brann, 25% draw, 24% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brann at 51% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Ham-Kam
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Mathias DyngelandG
- 21Denzel De RoeveD
- 23Thore PedersenD
- 20Vetle DragsnesD
- 17Joachim SoltvedtD
- 16Kristian EriksenM
- 18Jacob Lungi SørensenM
- 19Eggert Aron GuðmundssonM
- 10Kristall Máni IngasonF
- 29Noah Jean HolmF
- 9Niklas CastroF
- 25Niklas Jensen WassbergM
- 11Bård FinneF
- 7Kjartan Mar KjartanssonM
- 12Simen Vidtun NilsenG
- 6Cheick Mbacke DiopD
- 37Sondre Blumenfeldt VindenesM
- 43Brage Berg HaugenM
- 12Marcus SandbergG
- 26Patrick MetcalfeD
- 2Martin GjoneD
- 23Fredrik SjolstadD
- 3Ethan Amundsen-DayD
- 7Viðar Ari JónssonD
- 17Aksel Baran PoturM
- 14Luc MaresM
- 16Anders TrondsenM
- 19Henrik UdahlF
- 29Blerton IsufiF
- 8Markus JohnsgardM
- 22Snorre Strand NilsenD
- 18Duarte MoreiraF
- 6William Osnes-RingenM
- 24Danilo Al-SaedF
- 13Sander ØstraatG
- 5Aleksander AndresenD
- 10Loris MettlerM
Form going into Brann vs Ham-Kam
Brann
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
Ham-Kam
- D1-1Aalesund9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 26 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Ham-Kam
- 16 August 2026Brann 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 6 April 2026Ham-Kam 1–5 BrannEliteserien
- 30 November 2025Brann 3–1 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 5 July 2025Ham-Kam 1–1 BrannEliteserien
- 1 June 2024Ham-Kam 1–2 BrannEliteserien
- 17 April 2024Brann 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
Leading scorers: Brann and Ham-Kam
Brann
- N. Holm6 goals2 assists
Ham-Kam
- M. Alassane Niang6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.