Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 Gangwon FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 32% draw, 34% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 34%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC
Line-ups
- 41M. ParkG
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 4Kim Hyun-WooD
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 56K. LeeM
- 8Kim Yi-SeokM
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 17Kim Joo-ChanM
- 9G. LeeF
- 51Ahn Jun-SuG
- 46M. ChungM
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 55T. ParkM
- 6Lee Soo-BinM
- 48Hong Yun-SangF
- 54Yoon Jae-SeokD
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 24H. ParkD
- 23M. TuciD
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 77A. HleihelF
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 41Y. KimG
- 33Hong ChulD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 29Choi Jae-hyuckD
- 26W. ChoF
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 74J. Choe
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers9 September 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
- D0-0away to Jeju United FC22 August 2026
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
What these results say
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Gangwon FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC drew 2–2. The goals: Kim Joo-Chan 4' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Park Se-Jin 43' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Park Sang-Hyeok 74' for Gangwon FC, Kim Dae-Won (penalty) 90' for Gangwon FC.
How the call on Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Gangwon FC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 32% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 34% / 32% / 34%: the biggest move is Gimcheon Sangmu FC's chance of winning, down 10 points.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC win34%▼ −10
- Draw32%=
- Gangwon FC win34%▲ +10
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.