Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 Gangwon FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 32% draw, 34% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 34% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers9 September 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
Gangwon FC
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 29 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Go Jae-Hyeon4 goals3 assists
- Lee Kun-Hee3 goals1 assists
Gangwon FC
- A. Halaihal4 goals
- Mo Jae-Hyeon3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.