Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 2-2 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Daejeon Citizen, 25% draw, 26% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Daejeon Citizen at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers
Line-ups
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 2K. ParkD
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeM
- 7M. IshidaM
- 19Seo Jin-SuM
- 9Diogo OliveiraF
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 13Kim Jin-YaD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 14Kim Jun-BeomM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 29G. Moon
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongM
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 3Kim Ye-SungD
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 9J. AnF
- 10J. TranziskaF
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers
Daejeon Citizen
All competitions we cover
- W3-2FC Anyang9 September 2026
- W5-0away to Bucheon FC 19955 September 2026
- L1-3away to Jeju United FC30 August 2026
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC26 August 2026
- W3-0Gangwon FC23 August 2026
Pohang Steelers
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC9 September 2026
- L0-2away to Jeonbuk Motors5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gangwon FC30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Jeju United FC25 August 2026
- W3-0Bucheon FC 199522 August 2026
What these results say
- Daejeon Citizen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Daejeon Citizen had three goals or more.
- Daejeon Citizen won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Juninho Rocha41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Daejeon Citizen at 49% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jorge Teixeira 48' for Pohang Steelers, J. da Rocha Junior 51' for Pohang Steelers, Victor Bobsin 84' for Daejeon Citizen, Lee Myung-Jae 88' for Daejeon Citizen.
How the call on Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 49% / 29% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 25% / 26%: the biggest move is Pohang Steelers's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Daejeon Citizen win49%=
- Draw25%▼ −4
- Pohang Steelers win26%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.