Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 2-2 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Daejeon Citizen, 25% draw, 26% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Daejeon Citizen at 49% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers
Daejeon Citizen
- W3-2FC Anyang9 September 2026
- W5-0away to Bucheon FC 19955 September 2026
- L1-3away to Jeju United FC30 August 2026
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC26 August 2026
Pohang Steelers
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC9 September 2026
- L0-2away to Jeonbuk Motors5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gangwon FC30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Jeju United FC25 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 39 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers
Daejeon Citizen
- Jeong Jae-Hee4 goals1 assists
- M. Ishida3 goals1 assists
Pohang Steelers
- Lee Ho-Jae4 goals
- Juninho Rocha3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.