Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Ulsan Hyundai FC, 27% draw, 25% Incheon United — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ulsan Hyundai FC at 48% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- W1-0FC Seoul8 September 2026
- D0-0away to Jeju United FC5 September 2026
- W3-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen26 August 2026
Incheon United
- W2-1Bucheon FC 19958 September 2026
- L0-1away to FC Seoul5 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors30 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 47 |
| 7 | Incheon United | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ulsan Hyundai FC and Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Yago Cariello6 goals
- Lee Dong-Gyeong4 goals5 assists
Incheon United
- S. Mugoša9 goals
- M. Ferrier4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.