12 September 2026, 07:30 UTC

Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result

Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 FC Seoul.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Jeonbuk Motors, 31% draw, 33% FC Seoul — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Jeonbuk Motors at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Jeonbuk Motors3%Draw94%FC Seoul3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽P. Klimalaassist: Jeong Seung-Won
5'
•Son Jeong-Beom
⚽Bruno Motaassist: Italo
26'
Kim Tae-hyeon
38'
🔁Lee Dong-Junout: Lee Seung-Woo
46'
🔁Italoout: Dodo
70'
🔁Yeon Je-Woonout: Maeng Seong-Ung
83'
83'
🔁J. Sonout: Jeong Hyeon-Woo
🔁Kim Jin-Gyuout: Kim Seung-Sub
87'
🔁Bruno Motaout: Tiago Orobo
87'
90+4'
•Patryk Klimala
90+6'
Hrvoje Babec
90'
⚽P. Klimalaassist: Moon Seon-Min

Match stats — Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul

39%Possession61%
7Shots19
3On target11
1Corners5

Line-ups

Jeonbuk Motors 4-3-3
  • 31Song Bum-KeunG
  • 24Lee Sang-myungD
  • 3Yeon Je-WoonD
  • 2Kim Young-BinD
  • 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
  • 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
  • 16J. GamboaM
  • 97Kim Jin-GyuM
  • 7Lee Dong-JunF
  • 99Bruno MotaF
  • 95ItaloF
Substitutes
  • 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
  • 23Kim Tae-HwanD
  • 27Hwang Seung-jun
  • 37J. Han
  • 6Maeng Seong-UngM
  • 10Lee Seung-WooM
  • 11Kim Seung-SubF
  • 30DodoM
  • 9Tiago OroboF
Coach: Jung-Yong Chung
FC Seoul 4-4-2
  • 25Gu Sung-YunG
  • 16Choi JunD
  • 5Y. Al ArabD
  • 37J. RosD
  • 22Kim Jin-SuD
  • 7Jeong Seung-WonM
  • 42J. SonM
  • 6H. BabecM
  • 27Moon Seon-MinM
  • 10Anderson OliveiraF
  • 9P. KlimalaF
Substitutes
  • 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
  • 17Ahn Jae-minD
  • 20Lee Han-DoD
  • 66Park Soo-IlD
  • 23Ko Pil-gwan
  • 21Jung Ha-won
  • 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
  • 14Jeong Hyeon-WooF
  • 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
Coach: Gi-Dong Kim

Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul

Jeonbuk Motors

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Gangwon FC9 September 2026
  • W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Incheon United30 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC25 August 2026
  • W1-0Ulsan Hyundai FC22 August 2026

FC Seoul

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Ulsan Hyundai FC8 September 2026
  • W1-0Incheon United5 September 2026
  • W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
  • W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
  • W7-0away to FC Anyang22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Jeonbuk Motors went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Jeonbuk Motors had two goals or fewer.
  • Jeonbuk Motors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Seoul won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Seoul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Jeonbuk Motors351213104536+949
1FC Seoul3520786232+3067

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and FC Seoul

Jeonbuk Motors

GoalsAssists

  • Tiago Orobó100
  • Lee Seung-Woo44

FC Seoul

GoalsAssists

  • P. Klimala80

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Seoul won 2–1 at Jeonbuk Motors. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeonbuk Motors at 36% and given a win for FC Seoul 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: P. Klimala 3' for FC Seoul, Bruno Mota 26' for Jeonbuk Motors, P. Klimala 90' for FC Seoul.

How the call on Jeonbuk Motors v FC Seoul has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 32% / 31% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 36% / 31% / 33%: the biggest move is Jeonbuk Motors's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Jeonbuk Motors win36%▲ +4
  2. Draw31%=
  3. FC Seoul win33%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.