Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 1-1 FC Anyang.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Gwangju FC, 25% draw, 25% FC Anyang — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gwangju FC at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang
Line-ups
- 23Kim Dong-HwaG
- 22Kwon Sung-YunD
- 39Min Sang-GiD
- 2Jang Seok-HwanD
- 17Joao PedroD
- 40Shin Chang-MooM
- 10Choi Kyoung-RokM
- 37Ri Yong-jikM
- 9Ha Seung-UnM
- 50A. Ba LouaF
- 18J. IredaleF
- 6Ahn Young-KyuD
- 11H. FridjonssonF
- 8Ju Se-JongM
- 70Kim Woo-jinM
- 1Kim Kyeong-minG
- 77Oh Ha-jong
- 33Park Won-JaeD
- 7E. SaitoskiM
- 14Yu Je-HoM
- 31Kim Da-SolG
- 17Kang Ji-hunD
- 3Kim Ji-hunD
- 33D. BakkerD
- 22Kim Dong-JinD
- 24Kim Bo-KyungM
- 8Kim Jung-HyunM
- 18B. KnezevicM
- 71Chae Hyun-wooF
- 19Kim UnF
- 27Choi Geon-JooF
- 99Ju Hyun-WooD
- 25J. KimD
- 23Kim Jeong-HoonG
- 5Kim Young-ChanD
- 21Kwon Kyung-WonD
- 26Lee Jin-YongM
- 7Matheus OliveiraM
- 11Airton MoisesF
- 28Blaise TsagueF
Form going into Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang
Gwangju FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Jeju United FC9 September 2026
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC6 September 2026
- L2-5FC Seoul30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Gangwon FC26 August 2026
- L0-1Incheon United23 August 2026
FC Anyang
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen9 September 2026
- L0-3Gangwon FC6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bucheon FC 199529 August 2026
- W2-1Incheon United26 August 2026
- L0-7FC Seoul22 August 2026
What these results say
- Gwangju FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Gwangju FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Anyang had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 35 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and FC Anyang
Gwangju FC
GoalsAssists
- J. Iredale90
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gwangju FC and FC Anyang drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gwangju FC at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Iredale 11' for Gwangju FC, Chae Hyun-woo 26' for FC Anyang.
How the call on Gwangju FC v FC Anyang has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 25% / 25%: the biggest move is Gwangju FC's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Gwangju FC win50%▲ +12
- Draw25%▼ −4
- FC Anyang win25%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.