Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Heart of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Heart of Midlothian, 24% draw, 46% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 3.33, 4.17 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid Vienna at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna
Heart of Midlothian
- W4-0Dundee United9 August 2026
Rapid Vienna
- W8-0Grazer AK16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Ried9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | Premiership | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna
Heart of Midlothian
- J. Wilson3 goals
- J. McPake2 goals4 assists
- Cláudio Braga2 goals2 assists
Rapid Vienna
- T. Adamsen4 goals1 assists
- P. Dahl3 goals
- Y. Demir2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.