Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Monaco 4-1 Gornik Zabrze.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Monaco, 23% draw, 16% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Monaco at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
- W1-0away to Le Havre23 August 2026
Gornik Zabrze
- L2-3Monaco20 August 2026
- W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC13 August 2026
- W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Ferencvarosi TC5 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Monaco and Gornik Zabrze in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Monaco | Ligue 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 21 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligue 1 · Ekstraklasa
Head-to-head: Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
- 20 August 2026Gornik Zabrze 2–3 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Monaco and Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
- Paris Josua Brunner3 goals
Gornik Zabrze
- Peter4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.