Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Monaco 4-1 Gornik Zabrze.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Monaco, 23% draw, 16% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: Gornik Zabrze 2–3 Monaco (20 Aug) →
Monaco went through 7–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Monaco at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
Line-ups
- 1L. HradeckyG
- 2VandersonD
- 72S. SaneD
- 3E. DierD
- 20NazinhoD
- 15L. CamaraM
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 28M. CoulibalyM
- 10A. GolovinM
- 17S. IdumboM
- 29P. BrunnerF
- 16P. KohnG
- 50Y. LienardG
- 4J. TezeD
- 13C. MawissaD
- 5T. KehrerD
- 19P. CabralM
- 46A. SoubeirM
- 49I. ToureM
- 47S. BenzahraM
- 1P. SchulzeG
- 61M. SacekD
- 26R. JanickiD
- 4P. BochniewiczD
- 21O. ZmrzlyD
- 18L. SadilekM
- 66M. DietzM
- 82K. UrbanskiM
- 19Peter FedericoF
- 23S. LisethF
- 33M. KhlanF
- 99T. LoskaG
- 29W. KaniaG
- 20JosemaD
- 64E. JanzaD
- 2P. Warczak
- 14J. KubickiM
- 8P. BernardoM
- 11E. PrekopF
- 9J. AntisteF
Form going into Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Le Havre23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Gornik Zabrze20 August 2026
Gornik Zabrze
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Monaco20 August 2026
- W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC13 August 2026
- W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Ferencvarosi TC5 August 2026
What these results say
- Gornik Zabrze conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Gornik Zabrze.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Monaco and Gornik Zabrze in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Monaco | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 31 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Ekstraklasa
Head-to-head: Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze
- 20 August 2026Gornik Zabrze 2–3 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Monaco and Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
GoalsAssists
- Paris Josua Brunner41
Gornik Zabrze
GoalsAssists
- K. UrbaÅski51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 4–1. The model had made a win for Monaco its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: P. Brunner 30' for Monaco, M. Coulibaly 43' for Monaco, A. Golovin 50' for Monaco, M. Biereth 78' for Monaco, J. Antiste 83' for Gornik Zabrze.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.