Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 2-5 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Gwangju FC, 31% draw, 42% FC Seoul — fair odds of 3.70, 3.23 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Seoul at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul
Gwangju FC
- D2-2away to Gangwon FC26 August 2026
FC Seoul
- W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 14 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 62 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and FC Seoul
Gwangju FC
No player in K League 1's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
FC Seoul
- P. Klimala4 goals
- Lee Seung-Mo3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.