Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 2-5 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Gwangju FC, 31% draw, 42% FC Seoul — fair odds of 3.70, 3.23 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Seoul at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 23Kim Dong-HwaG
- 22Kwon Sung-YunD
- 37Ri Yong-jikD
- 6Ahn Young-KyuD
- 17Joao PedroD
- 40Shin Chang-MooM
- 14Yu Je-HoM
- 10Choi Kyoung-RokM
- 70Kim Woo-jinM
- 50A. Ba LouaF
- 88Moon Min-seoF
- 1Kim Kyeong-minG
- 33Park Won-JaeD
- 39Min Sang-GiD
- 2Jang Seok-HwanD
- 24Y. Kim
- 8Ju Se-JongM
- 16Joung Ji-hunM
- 11H. FridjonssonF
- 18J. IredaleF
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Y. Al ArabD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 42J. SonF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 40Park Seong-hunD
- 41Hwang Do-YunM
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
Form going into Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul
Gwangju FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Gangwon FC26 August 2026
- L0-1Incheon United23 August 2026
- L1-2Pohang Steelers15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Bucheon FC 19958 August 2026
FC Seoul
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
- W7-0away to FC Anyang22 August 2026
- W4-2Daejeon Citizen15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC8 August 2026
What these results say
- Gwangju FC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Gwangju FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Seoul went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- FC Seoul won 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Seoul scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 35 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 23 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 32 | +30 | 67 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and FC Seoul
Gwangju FC
GoalsAssists
- J. Iredale90
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Seoul won 5–2 at Gwangju FC. The model had made a win for FC Seoul its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Son 15' for FC Seoul, Kim Jin-Su 22' for FC Seoul, Choi Kyoung-Rok 34' for Gwangju FC, Lee Seung-Mo 45' for FC Seoul, Shin Chang-Moo 48' for Gwangju FC, Jeong Seung-Won 52' for FC Seoul, Anderson Oliveira 60' for FC Seoul. Sent off: Kim Woo-Jin (Gwangju FC) 40', Yeong-kyu Ahn (Gwangju FC) 56'.