29 August 2026, 10:30 UTC

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Ulsan Hyundai FC, 28% draw, 24% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ulsan Hyundai FC at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ulsan Hyundai FC99%Draw1%Gimcheon Sangmu FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽G. Leeassist: Hong Yun-Sang
43'
Tae-jun Park
⚽Yago Cariello
44'
45+2'
Jung-taek Lee
46'
🔁T. Parkout: Kim Yi-Seok
46'
🔁Park Se-Jinout: Lee Sang-Heon
⚽Yago Cariello (pen)
56'
🔁H. Leeout: Kang Sang-Woo
58'
60'
🔁Go Jae-Hyeonout: Jeon Byung-Kwan
⚽Kang Sang-Wooassist: Lee Dong-Gyeong
62'
68'
🔁Hong Yun-Sangout: Kim In-Gyun
🔁D. Bojanicout: Lee Gyu-Seong
71'
🔁Lee Jin-Hyunout: Jang Si-Young
71'
⚽Yago Carielloassist: T. Oude Kotte
75'
86'
🔁G. Leeout: Jung Jae-Min
⚽Kang Sang-woo (pen)
90+12'
Jung Jae-Sang
90+4'
🔁Seo Myung-Guanout: Kim Young-Gwon
90'
🔁Yago Carielloout: Jeong Jae-sang
90'
🔁Lee Dong-Gyeongout: B. Michel
90'
90+2'
🔁K. Leeout: Lim Dug-Keun

Match stats — Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

45%Possession55%
3Shots3
3On target1
5Corners12

Line-ups

Ulsan Hyundai FC 4-3-3
  • 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
  • 26Cho Hyun-TaekD
  • 15Jung Seung-HyunD
  • 4Seo Myung-GuanD
  • 96Choi Seok-HyunD
  • 6D. BojanicM
  • 10Lee Dong-GyeongM
  • 55T. Oude KotteM
  • 14Lee Jin-HyunF
  • 99Yago CarielloF
  • 8H. LeeF
Substitutes
  • 16Park Woo-jinM
  • 17Kang Sang-WooD
  • 19Kim Young-GwonD
  • 20Jeong Jae-sangF
  • 24Lee Gyu-SeongM
  • 31Hwang Byeong-KeunG
  • 33Jang Si-YoungF
  • 66M. TrojakD
  • 91B. MichelF
Coach: Hyun-seok Kim
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1Baek Jong-beomG
  • 11Kim Tae-HwanD
  • 45Byeon Jun-SooD
  • 26Lee Jung-TaekD
  • 3Park Cheol-WooD
  • 56K. LeeM
  • 55T. ParkM
  • 7Go Jae-HyeonM
  • 14Park Se-JinM
  • 48Hong Yun-SangM
  • 9G. LeeF
Substitutes
  • 6Lee Soo-BinM
  • 8Kim Yi-SeokM
  • 10Jeon Byung-KwanM
  • 15Lim Dug-KeunD
  • 21Kim In-GyunF
  • 41M. ParkG
  • 42Hong Si-HooD
  • 47Lee Sang-HeonF
  • 57Jung Jae-MinF
Coach: Seung-jin Joo

Form going into Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Ulsan Hyundai FC

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen26 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Jeonbuk Motors22 August 2026
  • L2-3Gangwon FC16 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Pohang Steelers8 August 2026

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Jeju United FC22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Incheon United16 August 2026
  • D0-0FC Seoul8 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Ulsan Hyundai FC35176125649+757
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC3562093542-738

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Ulsan Hyundai FC

GoalsAssists

  • Yago Cariello131
  • Lee Dong-Gyeong1010

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

GoalsAssists

  • Go Jae-Hyeon53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ulsan Hyundai FC beat Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1. The model had made a win for Ulsan Hyundai FC its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Lee 14' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Yago Cariello 44' for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Kang Sang-Woo 62' for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Yago Cariello 75' for Ulsan Hyundai FC.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.