Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeju United FC 3-1 Daejeon Citizen.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Jeju United FC, 25% draw, 35% Daejeon Citizen — fair odds of 2.50, 4.00 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jeju United FC at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Jeju United FC
- L1-2Pohang Steelers25 August 2026
Daejeon Citizen
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jeju United FC | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 43 |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Daejeon Citizen
Jeju United FC
- Matheus Aiás3 goals2 assists
Daejeon Citizen
- Jeong Jae-Hee4 goals1 assists
- M. Ishida3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.