Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeju United FC 3-1 Daejeon Citizen.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Jeju United FC, 25% draw, 35% Daejeon Citizen — fair odds of 2.50, 4.00 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Jeju United FC at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Line-ups
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 47Park Min-jaeD
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 3J. CelestineD
- 13Jeong WoonD
- 22E. CinariM
- 5ItaloM
- 20M. JangM
- 33Park Su-binM
- 94Emerson NeguebaF
- 9Matheus AiasF
- 7Park Chang-JunF
- 11Shin Sang-EunF
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 18Kim Shin-JinF
- 24Choi Byung-wookM
- 77S. YooM
- 81J. HeoG
- 88Jo In-jungD
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 4Cho Sung-GwonD
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 7M. IshidaM
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 2K. ParkD
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 9Diogo OliveiraF
- 14Kim Jun-BeomM
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 31Kim Min-Soo
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 70Kim Hyeon-UgM
Form going into Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Jeju United FC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Pohang Steelers25 August 2026
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC22 August 2026
- W2-0FC Anyang15 August 2026
- W3-1away to Jeonbuk Motors8 August 2026
Daejeon Citizen
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC26 August 2026
- W3-0Gangwon FC23 August 2026
- L2-4away to FC Seoul15 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Anyang8 August 2026
What these results say
- Jeju United FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Daejeon Citizen had three goals or more.
- Daejeon Citizen won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Daejeon Citizen
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba62
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Jeju United FC beat Daejeon Citizen 3–1. The model had made a win for Jeju United FC its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Matheus Aias 29' for Jeju United FC, E. Cinari 52' for Jeju United FC, Seo Jin-Su 76' for Daejeon Citizen, Emerson Negueba 90' for Jeju United FC.