30 August 2026, 10:30 UTC

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction & result

Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Full time1 1

Final score: Incheon United 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Incheon United, 30% draw, 31% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Incheon United at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors

Incheon United

  • L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026

Jeonbuk Motors

  • D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC25 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Incheon United28107113532+337
3Jeonbuk Motors29111083626+1043

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors

Incheon United

  • S. Mugoša9 goals
  • M. Ferrier4 goals

Jeonbuk Motors

  • Lee Seung-Woo4 goals3 assists
  • Tiago Orobó3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.