Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Incheon United 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Incheon United, 30% draw, 31% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Incheon United at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 39Kim Myung-soonD
- 4Kim Gun-HeeD
- 20Park Kyung-subD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 10Lee Dong-RyulM
- 15Seo Jae-MinM
- 5Lee Myoung-JooM
- 70Leandro RibeiroM
- 72Lee Chung-YongF
- 9S. MugosaF
- 3Lee Sang-GiD
- 6Mun Ji-HwanM
- 11GersoF
- 13Choi Seung-guD
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 21Lee Tae-HuiG
- 23Jeong Chi-InM
- 26Lee Min-HyukM
- 99M. FerrierF
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 23Kim Tae-HwanD
- 5Park Ji-SuD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 16J. GamboaM
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 13Kang Sang-YoonM
- 95ItaloM
- 9Tiago OroboF
- 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
- 3Yeon Je-WoonD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 15Kim Ha-junD
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 99Bruno MotaF
Form going into Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors
Incheon United
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026
- W1-0away to Gwangju FC23 August 2026
- D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC16 August 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC25 August 2026
- W1-0Ulsan Hyundai FC22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Bucheon FC 199516 August 2026
- L1-3Jeju United FC8 August 2026
What these results say
- Jeonbuk Motors failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 49 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors
Incheon United
GoalsAssists
- S. Mugoša111
- M. Ferrier51
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó100
- Lee Seung-Woo44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Incheon United at 39% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Lee Seung-Woo 83' for Jeonbuk Motors, Gerso 88' for Incheon United.