Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 1-2 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Gwangju FC, 26% draw, 21% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gwangju FC at 53% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC
- D0-0away to Bucheon FC 19958 August 2026
Pohang Steelers
- L0-2Ulsan Hyundai FC8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 14 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers
- 11 July 2026Gwangju FC 0–3 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 22 April 2026Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 10 August 2025Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 18 May 2025Pohang Steelers 0–1 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 22 March 2025Gwangju FC 2–3 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 13 September 2024Gwangju FC 2–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC
No player in K League 1's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Pohang Steelers
- Lee Ho-Jae4 goals
- Juninho Rocha3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.