Hammarby FF vs Gais Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Hammarby FF 2-0 Gais.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% Hammarby FF, 12% draw, 8% Gais — fair odds of 1.25, 8.33 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hammarby FF at 80% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hammarby FF vs Gais
Line-ups
- 1Warner HahnG
- 2Hampus SkoglundD
- 4Victor ErikssonD
- 3Frederik WintherD
- 16Noah PerssonD
- 11Oscar Johansson SchellhasM
- 8Markus KarlssonM
- 17Amin BoudriM
- 26Montader MadjedF
- 7Paulos AbrahamF
- 9Victor LindF
- 5Tesfaldet TekieM
- 31Oscar Steinke BrånbyD
- 30Suwaibou KebbehF
- 6Ibrahima FofanaD
- 24Waylon ReneckeD
- 27Felix JakobssonG
- 20Nahir BesaraM
- 45Filip JakobssonM
- 15Oliver Jordan HagenF
- 1Mergim KrasniqiG
- 6August WängbergD
- 22Anes CardaklijaD
- 4Oskar ÅgrenD
- 2Matteo de BrienneD
- 8William MilovanovicM
- 10Henry SletsjoeM
- 17Róbert Frosti ThorkelssonM
- 16Max AnderssonF
- 20Samuel SalterF
- 11Rasmus NiklassonF
- 32Oscar PetterssonF
- 34Dennis CollanderM
- 21Nikola VasicF
- 14Simon Girke JørgensenF
- 27Mohamed BawaM
- 24Filip BeckmanD
- 12Robin FrejD
- 33Andreas HermansenG
- 26Blessing Asuman DankwaF
Form going into Hammarby FF vs Gais
Hammarby FF
- W4-0away to Kalmar FF16 August 2026
Gais
- L0-1Malmo FF16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 40 |
| 10 | Gais | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hammarby FF vs Gais
- 23 August 2026Hammarby FF 2–0 GaisAllsvenskan
- 20 May 2026Gais 2–0 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 17 August 2025Hammarby FF 1–2 GaisAllsvenskan
- 13 July 2025Gais 3–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 26 August 2024Hammarby FF 0–0 GaisAllsvenskan
- 7 July 2024Gais 0–0 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Hammarby FF and Gais
Hammarby FF
- P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
- V. Lind9 goals11 assists
Gais
- S. Salter6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.