24 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Eleda Stadion
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Malmo FF 0-3 Djurgardens IF.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Malmo FF, 21% draw, 24% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 1.82, 4.76 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Malmo FF at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Malmo FF0%Draw1%Djurgardens IF99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Malte Palsson
14'
35'
⚽K. Lienassist: P. Johansson
Busanello
58'
58'
⚽J. Okkelsassist: B. Hegland
63'
Miro Tenho
66'
🔁J. Okkelsout: O. Fallenius
🔁A. Skogmarout: T. Lundbergh
69'
🔁D. Garciaout: I. Assibu
69'
🔁A. Hoogout: B. Kurtulus
74'
🔁Busanelloout: J. Milosavljevic
74'
77'
🔁D. Stenssonout: C. Almyras
Kenan Busuladžić
78'
82'
⚽P. Aslundassist: O. Fallenius
Otto Rosengren
84'
🔁E. Botheimout: D. T. Gudjohnsen
85'
86'
🔁J. Uneout: M. Marques
86'
🔁B. Heglandout: P. Langhoff
86'
🔁P. Aslundout: A. Andersson

Match stats — Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF

54%Possession46%
11Shots14
5On target5
3Corners7

Line-ups

Malmo FF 4-3-3
  • 1R. OlsenG
  • 37A. SkogmarD
  • 5A. DjuricD
  • 44M. PalssonD
  • 25BusanelloD
  • 40K. BusuladzicM
  • 7O. RosengrenM
  • 45A. HoogM
  • 9D. GarciaF
  • 20E. BotheimF
  • 29S. HaksabanovicF
Substitutes
  • 27J. DahlinG
  • 51V. HidalgoD
  • 4B. KurtulusD
  • 6Y. KarabelyovM
  • 42V. JeppssonM
  • 28J. MilosavljevicM
  • 47T. LundberghM
  • 32D. T. GudjohnsenF
  • 39I. AssibuF
Coach: Gaute Helstrup
Djurgardens IF 4-2-3-1
  • 35J. RinneG
  • 18A. StahlD
  • 5M. TenhoD
  • 4J. UneD
  • 2P. JohanssonD
  • 13D. StenssonM
  • 20M. SiltanenM
  • 8P. AslundM
  • 16B. HeglandM
  • 19J. OkkelsM
  • 9K. LienF
Substitutes
  • 30L. JonssonG
  • 21M. MarquesD
  • 7C. AlmyrasM
  • 29A. JohanssonM
  • 6P. LanghoffM
  • 28A. AnderssonM
  • 11O. FalleniusF
  • 27S. RingbergF
  • 23N. ZugeljF
Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Form going into Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF

Malmo FF

  • W1-0away to Gais16 August 2026

Djurgardens IF

  • L1-3AIK Stockholm16 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK10 August 2026
  • W6-0Vasteras SK FK3 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Degerfors IF25 July 2026
  • D0-0away to Orgryte IS20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Malmo FF2110383731+633
2Djurgardens IF2113264619+2741

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF

  • 17 April 2026Djurgardens IF 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 20 September 2025Malmo FF 0–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 29 March 2025Djurgardens IF 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 1 September 2024Malmo FF 4–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 1 May 2024Malmo FF 1–1 Djurgardens IFSvenska Cupen
  • 25 April 2024Djurgardens IF 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF

Malmo FF

  • E. Botheim10 goals3 assists

Djurgardens IF

  • K. Lien15 goals4 assists
  • Bo Åsulv Hegland8 goals14 assists
  • P. Åslund6 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.