23 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Vasteras SK FK 0-0 Kalmar FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Vasteras SK FK, 26% draw, 44% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 3.33, 3.85 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kalmar FF at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vasteras SK FK4%Draw92%Kalmar FF4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

V. Wernersson
29'
40'
L. Saetra
🔁V. Wernerssonout: J. Tagesson
46'
60'
🔁A. Magashyout: M. Stolt
60'
🔁M. Hallbergout: E. Dall
🔁K. Gunnarssonout: J. Magnusson
60'
🔁A. Boudahout: B. Lendambi
60'
S. Gefvert
70'
🔁J. Karlssonout: M. Baggesen
73'
80'
🔁A. Almqvistout: Z. Ravik
85'
🔁S. Overbyout: M. Soderback
🔁M. Hellisdalout: M. Abdi
90'

Match stats — Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF

49%Possession51%
9Shots17
2On target5
5Corners2

Line-ups

Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
  • 34Elis JägerG
  • 2Herman MagnussonD
  • 4Philip BondeD
  • 21Victor WernerssonD
  • 11Simon GefvertM
  • 30Mattias HellisdalM
  • 8Mamadou DiagneM
  • 15Jonathan KarlssonM
  • 5Karl GunnarssonF
  • 7Abdelrahman BoudahF
  • 17Taonsa AxelF
Substitutes
  • 24Jack TagessonD
  • 16Bonaventure LendambiF
  • 19Jens MagnussonM
  • 3Marcus BaggesenD
  • 32Musab Abdi MohamudM
  • 1Anton FagerströmG
  • 22Leonardo BarkD
  • 20Jonny Melvin LjungqvistD
  • 26Levi HansasM
Coach: Alexander Rubin
Kalmar FF 4-4-2
  • 1Samuel BrolinG
  • 2Victor LarssonD
  • 39Lars SætraD
  • 20Alexander AlmqvistD
  • 3Sivert Engh OverbyD
  • 13Charlie RosenqvistM
  • 7Nassef ChourakM
  • 23Robert GojaniM
  • 24Charles Sagoe Jr.M
  • 5Melker HallbergF
  • 21Abdussalam MagashyF
Substitutes
  • 9Malcolm StoltF
  • 19Eskild DallF
  • 12Zakarias RavikD
  • 10Marius SöderbäckM
  • 32Casper AnderssonG
  • 27Fabian BjorklundM
  • 70Emeka NnamaniF
Coach: Toni Koskela

Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF

Vasteras SK FK

  • L0-3away to IF Elfsborg14 August 2026

Kalmar FF

  • L0-4Hammarby FF16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Vasteras SK FK219573235-332
13Kalmar FF2154122131-1019

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF

  • 23 August 2026Vasteras SK FK 0–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 5 April 2026Kalmar FF 0–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
  • 14 September 2025Kalmar FF 2–1 Vasteras SK FKSuperettan
  • 6 May 2025Vasteras SK FK 2–2 Kalmar FFSuperettan
  • 17 August 2024Vasteras SK FK 2–1 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 2 June 2024Kalmar FF 0–4 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF

Vasteras SK FK

  • M. Ladefoged9 goals2 assists
  • A. Taonsa6 goals

Kalmar FF

  • C. Rosenquist7 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.