FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Before kick-off the model made it 77% FC Lugano, 13% draw, 10% Maccabi Tel Aviv — fair odds of 1.30, 7.69 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Maccabi Tel Aviv v FC Lugano, 27 Aug →
FC Lugano went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Lugano at 77%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Line-ups
- 16D. von BallmoosG
- 6A. PapadopoulosD
- 17L. MaiD
- 3H. DelcroixD
- 46M. ZanottiM
- 25U. BislimiM
- 8A. GrgicM
- 21Y. CimignaniM
- 11R. SteffenF
- 27D. Dos SantosF
- 91K. BehrensF
- 28F. GebhardtG
- 39C. NdiayeG
- 4D. KelvinD
- 18J. BichselD
- 26M. MarquesD
- 23G. AjdinM
- 14A. KendouciM
- 22B. D. Castro EspinosaF
- 24E. PihlstromF
- 22O. MelikaG
- 6T. AsanteD
- 5M. CamaraD
- 13R. ShlomoD
- 3R. RevivoD
- 42D. PeretzM
- 28I. SissokhoM
- 36I. ShaharM
- 77O. DavidaF
- 9E. SoklerF
- 29H. VarelaF
- 51S. SaadiaG
- 90R. MishpatiG
- 21N. Ben HarushD
- 41I. Ben HamoD
- 25S. RosenD
- 18D. GlazerM
- 30I. NoyM
- 23O. N. Azo
- 60I. Ben SimonF
Form going into FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to NSI Runavik13 August 2026
- W5-0FC Zurich9 August 2026
- W2-0NSI Runavik6 August 2026
- W4-1away to Grasshoppers2 August 2026
- W5-1away to Dukagjini29 July 2026
Maccabi Tel Aviv
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to CSKA Sofia13 August 2026
- L0-3CSKA Sofia6 August 2026
- W1-0Sheriff Tiraspol30 July 2026
- W5-0away to Sheriff Tiraspol23 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Lugano went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Lugano scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Lugano won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Maccabi Tel Aviv had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 24 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Ligat Ha'al
Leading scorers: FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano
GoalsAssists
- K. Behrens71
- Y. Cimignani34
Maccabi Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- Dor Peretz72
- E. Sokler51
- E. Madmon33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Lugano beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1. The model had made a win for FC Lugano its most likely outcome, at 77%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: K. Behrens 31' for FC Lugano, I. Shahar 47' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, A. Grgic (penalty) 54' for FC Lugano.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.