Hellas Verona vs Arezzo Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Hellas Verona 5-0 Arezzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Hellas Verona, 27% draw, 22% Arezzo — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hellas Verona at 51% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hellas Verona vs Arezzo
Hellas Verona
- D1-1away to Padova29 August 2026
- L1-2Ascoli23 August 2026
Arezzo
- L2-3Palermo30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Avellino22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 4 |
| 11 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hellas Verona and Arezzo
Hellas Verona
- S. Mulattieri2 goals1 assists
- S. Cerbone2 goals
- A. Sarr2 goals
Arezzo
- P. Cianci2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.