NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo HNL prediction & result
Final score: NK Osijek 3-0 NK Slaven Belupo.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% NK Osijek, 27% draw, 23% NK Slaven Belupo — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
NK Osijek at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31M. MalenicaG
- 2M. HeisterD
- 49I. KolarikD
- 26L. JelenicD
- 22R. JurisicD
- 23L. VrbancicM
- 48J. JezicM
- 39D. BukvicM
- 7I. DolcekM
- 11N. OmerovicM
- 79A. LeonF
- 1N. CurcijaG
- 33E. HasicD
- 24L. PosavecD
- 47D. KalemD
- 8S. MikolcicM
- 67B. BaktiM
- 13V. CaicM
- 46I. BaricF
- 16O. PetrusenkoM
- 30K. SenticG
- 18F. KruseljD
- 5I. CvetkoD
- 4D. KovacicD
- 33K. IsasegiD
- 24L. BosnjakM
- 21L. CrepuljaM
- 11J. MitrovicM
- 88D. BosakM
- 8L. BanovecM
- 90I. NestorovskiF
- 1T. KolarG
- 6T. BozicD
- 77I. UrataD
- 23A. JonssonM
- 17F. MazarM
- 22A. AdeshinaM
- 27A. GrgicF
- 7M. DabroF
Form going into NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo
NK Osijek
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to HNK Hajduk Split23 August 2026
- W1-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb15 August 2026
- W6-1away to Rudes8 August 2026
- W2-0away to HNK Gorica1 August 2026
NK Slaven Belupo
All competitions we cover
- W2-0HNK Gorica22 August 2026
- L0-3away to Istra 196115 August 2026
- L1-4NK Varazdin9 August 2026
- L0-2away to Dinamo Zagreb31 July 2026
What these results say
- NK Osijek won 3 of these 4 matches.
- NK Osijek scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- NK Slaven Belupo failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- NK Slaven Belupo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Osijek | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo
- 22 May 2026NK Osijek 2–0 NK Slaven BelupoHNL
- 22 March 2026NK Slaven Belupo 0–0 NK OsijekHNL
- 20 December 2025NK Osijek 0–0 NK Slaven BelupoHNL
- 4 October 2025NK Slaven Belupo 2–1 NK OsijekHNL
- 4 May 2025NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 NK OsijekHNL
- 2 April 2025NK Slaven Belupo 0–0 NK OsijekCup
Leading scorers: NK Osijek and NK Slaven Belupo
NK Osijek
GoalsAssists
- A. León61
- N. Omerović50
NK Slaven Belupo
GoalsAssists
- I. Nestorovski92
- J. Mitrović32
- L. Banovec32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NK Osijek beat NK Slaven Belupo 3–0. The model had made a win for NK Osijek its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: J. Jezic 10' for NK Osijek, N. Omerovic 37' for NK Osijek, J. Jezic 51' for NK Osijek. On expected goals it finished 1.43–0.88.