IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IF Brommapojkarna 0-1 IFK Goteborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% IF Brommapojkarna, 23% draw, 24% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
IF Brommapojkarna at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg
Line-ups
- 1L. CavalliusG
- 11R. ÖrqvistD
- 2P. VagićD
- 3A. TroelsenD
- 6O. ZandénD
- 9M. HansenM
- 21S. StrandM
- 27K. BarslundM
- 17A. KurochkinM
- 20W. OdefalkF
- 34David IssoF
- 22R. BergvallD
- 30L. BjörklundM
- 25D. BlaževićG
- 24W. DerbaliM
- 13E. El KathemiD
- 7O. OkekeM
- 14Kamilcan SeverF
- 23J. SimpsonD
- 32A. WahlundM
- 12V. AnderssonG
- 18F. ErikssonD
- 5J. BagerD
- 6H. HermannssonD
- 22Noah TolfD
- 24O. ManssonM
- 15D. KruseM
- 11N. ŽugeljM
- 8S. LarssonM
- 14T. HeintzM
- 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
- 23K. ÞórðarsonM
- 28I. SeiduD
- 21L. RadakovicM
- 9M. FengerF
- 26E. FasthM
- 27A. BorénF
- 25E. BishesariG
- 4K. AckermannM
- 20G. ErsoyD
Form going into IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg
IF Brommapojkarna
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
- W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
- W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026
IFK Goteborg
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Halmstad12 September 2026
- W4-1away to Mjallby AIF7 September 2026
- W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
- D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026
What these results say
- IF Brommapojkarna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IF Brommapojkarna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for IF Brommapojkarna had three goals or more.
- IFK Goteborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IFK Goteborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg
- 17 July 2026IFK Goteborg 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 21 September 2025IFK Goteborg 0–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 1 June 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 27 July 2024IFK Goteborg 3–4 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 29 April 2024IF Brommapojkarna 0–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg
IF Brommapojkarna
GoalsAssists
- M. Hansen87
IFK Goteborg
GoalsAssists
- S. Larsson83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IFK Goteborg won 1–0 at IF Brommapojkarna. The model had leaned towards a win for IF Brommapojkarna at 53% and given a win for IFK Goteborg 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Alexander Simmelhack 51' for IFK Goteborg.
How the call on IF Brommapojkarna v IFK Goteborg has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 53% / 23% / 24%: the biggest move is IF Brommapojkarna's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- IF Brommapojkarna win53%▲ +7
- Draw23%▼ −4
- IFK Goteborg win24%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.