IFK Goteborg vs Gent UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: IFK Goteborg 0-1 Gent.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% IFK Goteborg, 23% draw, 48% Gent — fair odds of 3.45, 4.35 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gent at 48% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Gent
Line-ups
- 12V. AnderssonG
- 17A. JallowD
- 4R. YeboahD
- 6H. HermannssonD
- 22N. TolfD
- 7S. ClemmensenF
- 23K. Thordarson
- 15D. KruseM
- 14T. HeintzM
- 29A. Bergmark-WibergF
- 8S. LarssonM
- 1J. RasheedG
- 25E. BishesariG
- 3A. ErlingmarkD
- 5J. BagerD
- 11S. AlioumM
- 16F. OttossonM
- 18F. ErikssonD
- 24O. ManssonM
- 28I. SeiduD
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van Der HeydenD
- 20T. AraujoD
- 57M. Volckaert
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
- 45H. GooreF
- 47J. VergaraF
- 8L. BenesM
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 31B. EversG
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 11M. SonkoF
- 21M. DeanF
- 22L. LopesM
- 28M. El AdfaouiM
- 37A. KadriM
- 56M. Diallo
Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Gent
IFK Goteborg
- W2-0Degerfors IF2 August 2026
- W3-1away to FC Levadia Tallinn30 July 2026
- L1-4away to Sirius26 July 2026
- L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn21 July 2026
- W2-1IF Brommapojkarna17 July 2026
Gent
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy30 July 2026
- D0-0away to LNZ Cherkasy23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
IFK Goteborg and Gent in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
| 2 | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Allsvenskan · Jupiler Pro League
Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Gent
- 6 August 2026IFK Goteborg 0–1 GentUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Gent
IFK Goteborg
- S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
- T. Heintz6 goals5 assists
Gent
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.