Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 25% draw, 51% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 4.17, 4.00 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GKS Katowice at 51% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice
Line-ups
- 22A. Tzur
- 97M. CocoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 98FalcaoM
- 6A. KraevM
- 11S. TurielM
- 51O. AltmanF
- 15R. Alkoukin
- 9E. BoatengF
- 33Y. BazdogG
- 13R. BaranesG
- 7R. KorineF
- 8Y. FerberM
- 10X. SilvaF
- 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
- 18T. ArchelD
- 20O. IsraelovD
- 21S. PivenD
- 87G. KobylakG
- 6L. KlemenzD
- 4A. JedrychD
- 55P. RestaD
- 97E. JirkaM
- 19K. LukasiakM
- 68B. WolskiM
- 8B. GalanM
- 15E. MarkovicF
- 99A. ZrelakF
- 27B. NowakF
- 1M. KikolskiG
- 7M. WdowiakM
- 10M. WedrychowskiM
- 14M. Olsen
- 17I. ShkurinF
- 21J. KokosinskiF
- 22S. MilewskiM
- 23M. WasielewskiM
- 30A. CzerwinskiD
Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- D2-2away to Ludogorets30 July 2026
- W2-0Ludogorets23 July 2026
GKS Katowice
- W3-1Radomiak Radom2 August 2026
- W3-1Žilina30 July 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and GKS Katowice in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 9 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligat Ha'al · Ekstraklasa
Head-to-head: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice
- 6 August 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 GKS KatowiceUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and GKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- D. Owusu2 goals
- E. Boateng1 goals2 assists
- S. Torial1 goals1 assists
GKS Katowice
- I. Shkurin5 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.