12 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time2 – 1

Final score: IFK Goteborg 2-1 Halmstad.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% IFK Goteborg, 28% draw, 25% Halmstad — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IFK Goteborg at 47% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IFK Goteborg97%Draw3%Halmstad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Hussein Carneil
⚽Sam Larsson
37'
38'
Tom Trybull
45'
🔁Erko Tougjasout: Joel Allansson
⚽Felix Erikssonassist: Noah Tolf
52'
Noah Tolf
60'
🔁Nino Žugeljout: Alfons Borén
65'
71'
🔁Ajdin Zeljkovicout: Malte Persson
71'
🔁Erik Ludvig Arvidssonout: Marvin Illary
73'
⚽Rocco Ascone (pen)
🔁oliver manssonout: Kolbeinn Thordarson
76'
🔁Alexander Simmelhackout: Max Johannes Whitta Fenger
76'
79'
🔁Hussein Carneilout: Omar Faraj
Alfons Borén
82'
🔁Sam Larssonout: Kevin Ackermann
88'
90+6'
🔁Malte Perssonout: Filip·Schyberg

Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

48%Possession52%
15Shots9
7On target3
8Corners9

Line-ups

IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 8S. LarssonM
  • 11N. ŽugeljF
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
  • 14T. HeintzF
Substitutes
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 27A. BorénF
  • 26E. FasthM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 23K. ÞórðarsonM
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund
Halmstad 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. RönningG
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 24R. KaibD
  • 16E. TõugjasM
  • 28T. TrybullM
  • 11L. ArvidssonM
  • 27R. AsconeM
  • 14H. CarneilM
  • 23A. ZeljkovicF
Substitutes
  • 9O. FarajF
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 22Oliver KapsimalisF
  • 8N. MäenpääM
  • 18Malte PerssonF
  • 4F. SchybergD
  • 25A. Damnjanovic NilssonM
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 35A. WihedG
Coach: S. Baxter

Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

IFK Goteborg

  • W4-1away to Mjallby AIF7 September 2026
  • W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
  • D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026

Halmstad

  • L0-2away to Degerfors IF5 September 2026
  • W1-0Kalmar FF29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orgryte IS22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to BK Hacken17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9IFK Goteborg218583041-1129
16Halmstad2125141439-2511

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

  • 12 September 2026IFK Goteborg 2–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 18 April 2026Halmstad 1–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 26 October 2025Halmstad 0–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 5 April 2025IFK Goteborg 1–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 23 September 2024IFK Goteborg 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 7 April 2024Halmstad 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Halmstad

IFK Goteborg

  • S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
  • T. Heintz6 goals5 assists

Halmstad

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.