Rosenborg vs Tromso Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Rosenborg 5-3 Tromso.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Rosenborg, 27% draw, 25% Tromso — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Rosenborg at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rosenborg vs Tromso
Line-ups
- 1L. WahlstedtG
- 16A. WitryD
- 4M. CeïdeD
- 21T. NemčíkD
- 19A. PereiraD
- 11N. SahsahM
- 17M. BomholtM
- 10O. SelnæsM
- 7S. NordliM
- 18Amin ChiakhaF
- 35E. CeïdeF
- 3T. SolheimD
- 29D. ĎurišF
- 6M. KjøløM
- 23M. MampassiD
- 15J. MortensenD
- 14J. Reitan-SundeF
- 12R. SandbergG
- 30M. SoboczynskiF
- 5H. VoldenD
- 1J. HaugaardG
- 29A. WarnerydD
- 30I. VådebuD
- 21L. HienD
- 33M. JattaD
- 37S. InnværD
- 5D. EdvardssonM
- 11R. JenssenM
- 70M. BjørloM
- 15V. ErlienF
- 22H. LarsenF
- 17I. DahlqvistM
- 7L. Olden LarsenF
- 12O. LauvliG
- 27M. MikkelsenM
- 10T. NyhammerM
- 24V. OsujiD
- 8J. GrundtM
- 19L. Olden LarsenM
- 40Elias MolundD
Form going into Rosenborg vs Tromso
Rosenborg
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Ham-Kam5 September 2026
- L2-4away to Bodo/Glimt30 August 2026
- W2-1Viking14 August 2026
- W2-0away to Lillestrom9 August 2026
- L2-3away to Brann2 August 2026
Tromso
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Kristiansund BK6 September 2026
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF30 August 2026
- L0-4away to Brighton27 August 2026
- D0-0Brighton20 August 2026
- L2-3away to Molde16 August 2026
What these results say
- Rosenborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rosenborg had three goals or more.
- Tromso did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Tromso failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rosenborg | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 32 | +21 | 46 |
| 6 | Tromso | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 40 | +3 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Tromso
- 6 April 2026Tromso 2–0 RosenborgEliteserien
- 22 November 2025Tromso 1–0 RosenborgEliteserien
- 27 July 2025Rosenborg 4–1 TromsoEliteserien
- 4 August 2024Rosenborg 1–0 TromsoEliteserien
- 20 May 2024Tromso 3–2 RosenborgEliteserien
Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Tromso
Rosenborg
GoalsAssists
- Amin Chiakha184
Tromso
GoalsAssists
- H. Larsen104
- J. Hjertø-Dahl72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rosenborg beat Tromso 5–3. The model had made a win for Rosenborg its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ole Selnaes 3' for Rosenborg, Amin Chiakha 5' for Rosenborg, Noah Sahsah 34' for Rosenborg, Aslak Fonn Witry 43' for Rosenborg, Noah Sahsah 47' for Rosenborg, Troy Engseth Nyhammer 71' for Tromso, Heine Asen Larsen (penalty) 75' for Tromso, Ole Selnaes (own goal) 77' for Tromso.
How the call on Rosenborg v Tromso has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Rosenborg's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Rosenborg win48%▲ +6
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Tromso win25%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.