Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente 0-3 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Independiente, 29% draw, 30% Gimnasia Mendoza — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Independiente at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Independiente
- D0-0Independiente Rivadavia22 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lanus17 August 2026
Gimnasia Mendoza
- W3-2away to Gimnasia La Plata22 August 2026
- W3-1Talleres Cordoba18 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Independiente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza
- 25 February 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1–1 IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
- 29 June 2025Gimnasia Mendoza 1–2 IndependienteCopa Argentina
Leading scorers: Independiente and Gimnasia Mendoza
Independiente
- G. Ávalos11 goals5 assists
Gimnasia Mendoza
- A. Módica12 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.