KuPS vs HJK Helsinki Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: KuPS 0-0 HJK Helsinki.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% KuPS, 27% draw, 29% HJK Helsinki — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KuPS at 44% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KuPS vs HJK Helsinki
Line-ups
- 1J. KreidlG
- 29A. PuukkoD
- 28B. MagassaD
- 23A. LotjonenD
- 25C. AntwiD
- 10V. R. GascM
- 16T. JyryM
- 34J. EskesenM
- 8P. PennanenM
- 15A. AikiF
- 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
- 12H. RiihimakiG
- 6S. SavolainenD
- 33T. HamalainenD
- 4K. AdamsD
- 22S. TourayM
- 14S. PasanenM
- 13N. KujasaloM
- 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
- 19C. KabuyeF
- 1J. OstG
- 13K. SimojokiD
- 6V. TikkanenD
- 3T. CissokhoD
- 14L. MontanoD
- 8P. MentuM
- 4A. RingM
- 22L. MollerM
- 11M. KirilovM
- 7A. CicaleM
- 9M. BorchersF
- 30J. SamoojaG
- 17N. AlhoD
- 31M. BogicevicD
- 10L. LingmanM
- 15J. KallinenM
- 32M. GueyeM
- 20T. PukkiF
- 26L. LappalainenM
- 29S. HaaralaF
Form going into KuPS vs HJK Helsinki
KuPS
- D1-1away to Gnistan8 September 2026
- L0-1away to Inter Turku31 August 2026
- L2-4Mariehamn23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Lahti16 August 2026
HJK Helsinki
- W2-1Inter Turku9 September 2026
- W2-1away to Ilves31 August 2026
- L2-3Gnistan23 August 2026
- W3-0FF Jaro16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 43 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KuPS vs HJK Helsinki
- 13 September 2026KuPS 0–0 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
- 27 June 2026HJK Helsinki 0–4 KuPSVeikkausliiga
- 26 April 2026KuPS 1–1 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
- 9 November 2025HJK Helsinki 0–2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
- 19 October 2025KuPS 3–1 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
- 20 September 2025HJK Helsinki 1–0 KuPSSuomen Cup
Leading scorers: KuPS and HJK Helsinki
KuPS
- J. Moreno5 goals
- B. Armah3 goals
- P. Pennanen2 goals2 assists
HJK Helsinki
- M. Borchers4 goals
- T. Pukki3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.