Ceramica Cleopatra
vs
National Bank of Egypt
Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 National Bank of Egypt.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Ceramica Cleopatra, 27% draw, 24% National Bank of Egypt — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Ceramica Cleopatra 2.01, National Bank of Egypt 1.08.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ceramica Cleopatra at 49% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23M. Alaa
- 2A. HanyD
- 4BeckhamD
- 24J. ArthurD
- 27H. El SayedD
- 28K. AmrM
- 10A. Belhadji
- 15S. El ErakiM
- 77BoboM
- 29M. OtakaM
- 9N. GradisarF
- 18M. BassamG
- 5N. Ragab
- 8A. MagdyM
- 32F. El HenawyM
- 66M. El MaghrabyD
- 17A. El SoliaM
- 22K. Al NabrisF
- 25E. S. Shika M.F
- 19A. MukkaF
- 1Ahmed SobhiG
- 13ShefoD
- 6M. El Gazzar
- 33D. Cyril
- 12A. MetebD
- 30Y. AnnorM
- 14A. HamdiM
- 25BencharkiM
- 9O. FaisalM
- 21A. Madbouli
- 29A. RayanF
- 27A. El BaloutiG
- 7Hisham SalehD
- 20A. MedhatD
- 8R. El MetwalyM
- 17M. NaserM
- 19S. BouchamaM
- 10S. AbdallahF
- 23OufaF
- 11M. Shalaby
Form going into Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra
- W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026
- W2-0Future FC2 September 2026
- W3-1away to Al Ittihad Alexandria28 August 2026
- L1-2Olympic El Qanah23 August 2026
National Bank of Egypt
- W3-1Ghazl El Mehalla7 September 2026
- W1-0away to Asyut Petrol31 August 2026
- L0-3Zamalek SC26 August 2026
- L0-1away to Abu Qair Semad21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 12 | National Bank of Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
- 14 September 2026Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 National Bank of EgyptPremier League
- 5 March 2026Ceramica Cleopatra 2–2 National Bank of EgyptPremier League
- 12 June 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 National Bank of EgyptLeague Cup
- 1 May 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–4 National Bank of EgyptPremier League
- 26 December 2024National Bank of Egypt 1–2 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
- 11 December 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 0–5 National Bank of EgyptLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Ceramica Cleopatra and National Bank of Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra
- Mohamed Reda2 goals2 assists
- Ahmed Belhadji2 goals2 assists
National Bank of Egypt
- Osama Faisal2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 2.01 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.08 for National Bank of Egypt; the game produced 2 and 0.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Bobo 49' (Ceramica Cleopatra), K. Amr 65' (Ceramica Cleopatra).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1168 correct results out of 2477 settled predictions (47%), with 234 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ceramica Cleopatra the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.01 expected goals for Ceramica Cleopatra against 1.08 for National Bank of Egypt. Ceramica Cleopatra's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.84 for National Bank of Egypt.