Instituto Cordoba
vs
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Instituto Cordoba, 29% draw, 25% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Instituto Cordoba 1.71, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.95.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Instituto Cordoba at 46% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 30J. GalvanD
- 26L. MosevichD
- 6F. R. AlarconD
- 44G. CeratoM
- 55G. AbreguM
- 13J. MendezM
- 3D. SosaM
- 21J. LazaroF
- 10A. LunaF
- 17M. TisseraF
- 35E. O. Sittaro MirandaG
- 2H. De La FuenteD
- 22A. MassaccesiD
- 32A. BravoD
- 19L. SansevieroF
- 23A. MeliD
- 8J. AcevedoM
- 14W. VieraM
- 9F. SuarezF
- 1L. BrueraG
- 6J. AntoniniD
- 2G. MaffiniD
- 31M. ValentiD
- 5A. CabreraM
- 45R. LozanoM
- 10T. GonzalezM
- 17G. AlanisM
- 23F. RodriguezM
- 22M. ValienteF
- 77I. HesarF
- 43A. LastraG
- 14G. GonzalezD
- 3L. BanosD
- 28F. CobosD
- 29A. QuirogaD
- 8S. RosaneM
- 11M. GarneroneF
- 99J. ChalaM
- 9J. FerreiraF
Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Instituto Cordoba
- L2-3away to Union Santa Fe8 September 2026
- W1-0San Lorenzo1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago16 August 2026
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L0-2Sarmiento Junin4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Huracan29 August 2026
- D0-0San Lorenzo21 August 2026
- L0-1Atletico Tucuman17 August 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- 15 September 2026Instituto Cordoba 2–1 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 May 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 February 2022Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–1 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.71 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.95 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto; the game produced 2 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: G. Cerato 49' (Instituto Cordoba), L. Mosevich 73' (Instituto Cordoba), M. Ledesma 75' (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1168 correct results out of 2477 settled predictions (47%), with 234 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Instituto Cordoba the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.71 expected goals for Instituto Cordoba against 0.95 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. Instituto Cordoba's attack/defence rating is 0.89/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.18 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.