Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 1-0 Trabzonspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Konyaspor, 30% draw, 36% Trabzonspor — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Trabzonspor at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 4Adil DemirbağD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 91Jean-Luc DompéF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 16Ata YanıkD
- 45Emir BarsF
- 25Omer CobanogluM
- 19Ebrima ColleyF
- 24André OnanaG
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 27Chibuike NwaiwuD
- 15Stefan SavićD
- 19Mustafa EskihellaçD
- 11Ozan TufanM
- 6FabinhoM
- 7Ernest MuçiM
- 10Mohamed SalahF
- 30Paul OnuachuF
- 58Aral ŞimşirF
- 55Sidny Lopes CabralD
- 70Noah SavioloF
- 9Franculino DjúF
- 25Onuralp ÇevikkanG
- 4Samet AkaydınD
- 39Cenk ÖzkaçarD
- 77Metehan MimaroğluF
- 57Melih KabasakalM
- 14Umut NayirF
Form going into Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
- L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
- L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026
Trabzonspor
All competitions we cover
- W5-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Amed31 August 2026
- L0-4away to Ferencvarosi TC27 August 2026
- W2-1Başakşehir23 August 2026
- L0-1Ferencvarosi TC20 August 2026
What these results say
- Konyaspor did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Konyaspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Trabzonspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Trabzonspor had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor
- 22 May 2026Trabzonspor 2–1 KonyasporTürkiye Kupası
- 27 April 2026Konyaspor 2–1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 29 November 2025Trabzonspor 3–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 3 March 2025Konyaspor 1–0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 29 September 2024Trabzonspor 3–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Salah93
- Franculino Djú42
- E. Muçi36
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Konyaspor beat Trabzonspor 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Trabzonspor at 36% and given a win for Konyaspor 34%. The goal: R. Toth 2' for Konyaspor. On expected goals it finished 1.01–0.75.
How the call on Konyaspor v Trabzonspor has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 34% / 30% / 36%: the biggest move is Konyaspor's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- Konyaspor win34%▼ −9
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Trabzonspor win36%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.