Kristiansund BK vs Tromso Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Kristiansund BK 2-0 Tromso.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Kristiansund BK, 31% draw, 33% Tromso — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Kristiansund BK at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Tromso
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. LansingG
- 59M. ElviusD
- 4J. JuliussonD
- 5D. UlvestadD
- 25J. KitolanoD
- 10H. BrusethM
- 6J. IsaksenM
- 24G. ChristensenM
- 7S. SvendsenM
- 11Z. BytyqiM
- 19L. AlvheimF
- 12A. SaetherG
- 22H. HaugenD
- 17M. WilliamsenD
- 3F. FlexD
- 23T. SvendsenM
- 14S. SkeideM
- 27A. RonningF
- 20W. IgorM
- 16D. TufekcicM
- 1J. HaugaardG
- 37S. InnvaerD
- 24V. OsujiD
- 21L. HienD
- 30I. VadebuD
- 29A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydD
- 7L. O. LarsenM
- 5D. EdvardssonM
- 70M. BjorloM
- 10T. NyhammerF
- 22H. LarsenF
- 12O. LauvliG
- 33M. JattaD
- 27M. MikkelsenM
- 8J. GrundtM
- 40E. MolundD
- 17I. DahlqvistM
- 18N. HristovF
- 15V. ErlienF
Form going into Kristiansund BK vs Tromso
Kristiansund BK
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Ham-Kam30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Fredrikstad16 August 2026
- W2-1Molde9 August 2026
- L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
- L1-2Start25 July 2026
Tromso
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF30 August 2026
- L0-4away to Brighton27 August 2026
- D0-0Brighton20 August 2026
- L2-3away to Molde16 August 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj13 August 2026
What these results say
- Kristiansund BK conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Tromso failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 26 |
| 6 | Tromso | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 40 | +3 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Tromso
- 11 April 2026Tromso 2–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 30 November 2025Kristiansund BK 1–3 TromsoEliteserien
- 24 September 2025Tromso 2–1 Kristiansund BKNM Cupen
- 20 April 2025Tromso 2–3 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 28 July 2024Tromso 0–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Tromso
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Tromso
GoalsAssists
- H. Larsen104
- J. Hjertø-Dahl72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kristiansund BK beat Tromso 2–0. The model had made a win for Kristiansund BK its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: L. Alvheim 14' for Kristiansund BK, L. Alvheim 77' for Kristiansund BK. On expected goals it finished 0.65–0.35.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.