FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Zurich 2-4 BSC Young Boys.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% FC Zurich, 29% draw, 35% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Zurich at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
Form going into FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Lausanne29 August 2026
- L1-2FC Basel 189322 August 2026
- L0-5away to FC Lugano9 August 2026
- W2-1Servette FC1 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026
BSC Young Boys
All competitions we cover
- D3-3FC Basel 189329 August 2026
- W4-2FC Vaduz23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Lausanne8 August 2026
- W6-0away to FC Thun1 August 2026
- W4-2FC Sion26 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Zurich conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Zurich had three goals or more.
- FC Zurich scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- BSC Young Boys went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- BSC Young Boys scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for BSC Young Boys had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Zurich | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 21 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 25 | +16 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys
- 1 March 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
- 1 February 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
- 26 October 2025FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 21 April 2025BSC Young Boys 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 27 February 2025FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysSchweizer Cup
Leading scorers: FC Zurich and BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- U. Emmanuel63
- P. Keny61
BSC Young Boys
GoalsAssists
- S. Essende153
- C. Fassnacht61
- A. Sanches44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
BSC Young Boys won 4–2 at FC Zurich. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Zurich at 36% and given a win for BSC Young Boys 35%. The goals: M. Reichmuth 11' for FC Zurich, C. Fassnacht 23' for BSC Young Boys, C. Fassnacht 32' for BSC Young Boys, C. Fassnacht 55' for BSC Young Boys, A. Virginius 73' for BSC Young Boys, L. Kamberi 86' for FC Zurich. On expected goals it finished 1.87–1.52.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.