1 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys Super League prediction & result

Letzigrund Stadion
Full time2 – 4

Final score: FC Zurich 2-4 BSC Young Boys.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% FC Zurich, 29% draw, 35% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Zurich at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Zurich0%Draw1%BSC Young Boys99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Reichmuthassist: L. Schodler
11'
23'
⚽C. Fassnachtassist: S. Essende
🔁C. Kablanout: D. Lichtenstein
29'
29'
D. Pech
32'
⚽C. Fassnacht
53'
A. Sanches
55'
⚽C. Fassnachtassist: M. K. Sene
K. Spadanuda
62'
63'
🔁D. Pechout: A. Gigovic
63'
🔁M. K. Seneout: A. Virginius
🔁K. Spadanudaout: D. Ramic
63'
🔁P. P. Kenyout: D. Reverson
63'
🔁U. Emmanuelout: N. Di Giusto
64'
73'
⚽A. Virginiusassist: E. Fernandes
77'
🔁A. Sanchesout: E. Etoski
77'
🔁I. Schmidtout: L. Blum
77'
🔁E. Fernandesout: G. Wuthrich
81'
•E. Etoski
🔁M. Reichmuthout: M. Bangoura
83'
⚽L. Kamberi
86'
90+1'
S. Bukinac

Match stats — FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys

47%Possession53%
16Shots8
7On target7
3Corners3
1.87xG1.52

Goals against chances

FC Zurich2 from 1.87 xGabout what the chances were worth
BSC Young Boys4 from 1.52 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Zurich
Coach: Marcel Koller
BSC Young Boys
Coach: Gerardo Seoane

Form going into FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys

FC Zurich

  • W3-2away to Lausanne29 August 2026
  • L1-2FC Basel 189322 August 2026

BSC Young Boys

  • D3-3FC Basel 189329 August 2026
  • W4-2FC Vaduz23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FC Zurich83141319-610
3BSC Young Boys84402816+1216

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys

  • 1 September 2026FC Zurich 2–4 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 1 March 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 1 February 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 26 October 2025FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 21 April 2025BSC Young Boys 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 27 February 2025FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysSchweizer Cup

Leading scorers: FC Zurich and BSC Young Boys

FC Zurich

  • U. Emmanuel4 goals2 assists

BSC Young Boys

  • S. Essende8 goals3 assists
  • C. Fassnacht4 goals1 assists
  • A. Sanches3 goals4 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.