Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Wolfsberger AC 1-3 Lask Linz.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Wolfsberger AC, 29% draw, 40% Lask Linz — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lask Linz at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. Gutlbauer
- 6R. Behounek
- 8S. Piesinger
- 35M. Kitz
- 31F. Wohlmuth
- 30M. Sulzner
- 19O. Mamageishvili
- 77R. Renner
- 17M. Schabauer
- 10D. Avdijaj
- 9G. Vrioni
- 12L. Gliklich
- 70D. Djuric
- 36D. Fitz
- 34E. Agyemang
- 20T. Schriebl
- 7L. Hassler
- 11A. Schwarz
- 32M. Pink
- 23P. Verhounig
- 1L. Jungwirth
- 4X. Mbuyamba
- 43J. Tornich
- 16A. Andrade
- 20K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
- 6M. Bogarde
- 30S. Horvath
- 25Y. Dibango
- 9K. Danek
- 8M. Usor
- 27C. Lang
- 33T. Schutzenauer
- 2G. Bello
- 47J. Ilk
- 3M. Freckleton
- 52K. Cheikne
- 21M. Verhaeghe
- 29F. Flecker
- 18A. Schopf
- 45N. Kane
Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
- D0-0away to Grazer AK29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
- D1-1Red Bull Salzburg9 August 2026
Lask Linz
- W3-0SCR Altach29 August 2026
- W4-1Ried14 August 2026
- W2-0away to Austria Vienna9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 1 | Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz
- 1 September 2026Wolfsberger AC 1–3 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 8 March 2026Lask Linz 3–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 27 September 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–0 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 2 April 2025Lask Linz 1–1 Wolfsberger ACCup
- 7 December 2024Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 1 September 2024Lask Linz 1–5 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
- G. Vrioni4 goals
Lask Linz
- S. Adeniran4 goals1 assists
- C. Lang4 goals
- M. Usor2 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.