KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KV Mechelen 0-4 KVC Westerlo.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% KV Mechelen, 29% draw, 26% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
KV Mechelen at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
Line-ups
- 13Nacho MirásG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 3José MarsàD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 7T. KoudouM
- 26D. PraetM
- 6F. HammarM
- 17C. Van MeirvenneM
- 27K. Van RafelghemM
- 9M. van BrederodeM
- 16Shina AyodeleF
- 29B. AntonioF
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 28Bouke BoersmaF
- 30Marco DecherfM
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 1O. De WolfG
- 23S. MichezM
- 14B. RamanF
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 99A. JungdalG
- 2L. FløD
- 5S. KimuraD
- 4A. LapageD
- 28D. OuregaD
- 45I. FofanaM
- 14C. SandraM
- 20C. CongreveM
- 13I. SakamotoM
- 7S. SaitoM
- 9N. BassetteF
- 88F. FerraroD
- 21B. LathouwersG
- 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
- 10N. StormF
- 39T. Van den KeybusM
- 40B. BaloghD
- 11N. Bohamdi-KamoniF
- 17D. AmegnagloF
Form going into KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to RAAL La Louvière29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Charleroi22 August 2026
- D3-3Standard Liege16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Gent9 August 2026
KVC Westerlo
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Zulte Waregem30 August 2026
- L0-4away to Lommel United23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Genk15 August 2026
- L1-5Union St. Gilloise8 August 2026
What these results say
- KV Mechelen did not win any of these 4 matches.
- KV Mechelen conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- KVC Westerlo did not win any of these 4 matches.
- KVC Westerlo conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for KVC Westerlo had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
- 25 January 2026KV Mechelen 1–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 9 August 2025KVC Westerlo 0–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 26 April 2025KVC Westerlo 2–2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 22 April 2025KV Mechelen 2–3 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 20 December 2024KVC Westerlo 1–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette80
- S. Saito51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KVC Westerlo won 4–0 at KV Mechelen. The model had leaned towards a win for KV Mechelen at 45% and given a win for KVC Westerlo 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Isa Sakamoto 7' for KVC Westerlo, Shunsuke Saito 27' for KVC Westerlo, Shunsuke Saito 67' for KVC Westerlo, Nikola Storm 88' for KVC Westerlo.