KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KV Mechelen 0-4 KVC Westerlo.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% KV Mechelen, 29% draw, 26% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KV Mechelen at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
Line-ups
- 13Nacho MirásG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 3José MarsàD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 7T. KoudouM
- 26D. PraetM
- 6F. HammarM
- 17C. Van MeirvenneM
- 27K. Van RafelghemM
- 9M. van BrederodeM
- 16Shina AyodeleF
- 29B. AntonioF
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 28Bouke BoersmaF
- 30Marco DecherfM
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 1O. De WolfG
- 23S. MichezM
- 14B. RamanF
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 99A. JungdalG
- 2L. FløD
- 5S. KimuraD
- 4A. LapageD
- 28D. OuregaD
- 45I. FofanaM
- 14C. SandraM
- 20C. CongreveM
- 13I. SakamotoM
- 7S. SaitoM
- 9N. BassetteF
- 88F. FerraroD
- 21B. LathouwersG
- 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
- 10N. StormF
- 39T. Van den KeybusM
- 40B. BaloghD
- 11N. Bohamdi-KamoniF
- 17D. AmegnagloF
Form going into KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
- D2-2away to RAAL La Louvière29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Charleroi22 August 2026
- D3-3Standard Liege16 August 2026
KVC Westerlo
- D2-2Zulte Waregem30 August 2026
- L0-4away to Lommel United23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Genk15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
| 13 | KVC Westerlo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
- 5 September 2026KV Mechelen 0–4 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 25 January 2026KV Mechelen 1–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 9 August 2025KVC Westerlo 0–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 26 April 2025KVC Westerlo 2–2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 22 April 2025KV Mechelen 2–3 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 20 December 2024KVC Westerlo 1–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
- M. van Brederode3 goals
KVC Westerlo
- S. Saito3 goals
- N. Bassette3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.