5 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Standard Liege vs Antwerp Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Standard Liege 1-0 Antwerp.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Standard Liege, 30% draw, 30% Antwerp — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Standard Liege at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Standard Liege97%Draw3%Antwerp0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Maxime Busi
Ibrahim Karamoko
10'
47'
Yuto Tsunashima
61'
🔁Maxime Busiout: Modibo Fofana
61'
🔁Ibrahim Salahout: Snayder Porozo
🔁Gustav Julius Mortensenout: Tobias Mohr
64'
🔁Bernard Ngueneout: Salieu Drammeh
64'
•Adnane Abid
74'
⚽Dennis Dargahi (pen)
77'
78'
🔁Christopher Scottout: Mauricio Benítez
78'
🔁Semm Rendersout: Eran Tuypens
🔁Dennis Dargahiout: Bruny Nsimba
82'
🔁Alexis Trouilletout: Ryan Fosso
82'
84'
🔁Xander Dierckxout: Luis Narh

Match stats — Standard Liege vs Antwerp

56%Possession44%
20Shots14
8On target4
13Corners4

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-3-3
  • 1M. EpoloG
  • 13M. FosseyD
  • 20I. KaramokoD
  • 25I. HautekietD
  • 3G. MortensenD
  • 94C. NielsenM
  • 22A. TrouilletM
  • 84R. TouzgharM
  • 17Bernard NgueneF
  • 10D. Eckert AyensaF
  • 11A. AbidF
Substitutes
  • 19S. JasperM
  • 15S. DrammehM
  • 29D. DierckxD
  • 80R. FossoM
  • 6L. GoemaereM
  • 18H. LawrenceD
  • 7T. MohrM
  • 77B. NsimbaF
  • 21L. PirardG
Coach: V. Euvrard
Antwerp 4-4-2
  • 41T. NozawaG
  • 44M. BusiD
  • 4Y. TsunashimaD
  • 3Álvaro Cortés MoyanoD
  • 17S. RendersD
  • 24T. SomersM
  • 14X. DierckxM
  • 48A. VermeerenM
  • 10C. ScottM
  • 7I. SalahF
  • 9M. FreyF
Substitutes
  • 8M. BenítezM
  • 20R. Van HeldenD
  • 6B. DeuffM
  • 81N. DevalckeneerG
  • 25M. FofanaM
  • 99Luis NarhF
  • 33S. PorozoM
  • 28Luca SchelfhoutD
  • 27E. TuypensD
Coach: Marvin Compper

Form going into Standard Liege vs Antwerp

Standard Liege

  • W2-1away to OH Leuven29 August 2026
  • W2-0RAAL La Louvière21 August 2026
  • D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026

Antwerp

  • L1-4St. Truiden30 August 2026
  • D4-4Genk22 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Kortrijk15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Standard Liege63211210+211
11Antwerp62131113-27

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs Antwerp

  • 5 September 2026Standard Liege 1–0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 3 May 2026Antwerp 0–5 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 21 April 2026Standard Liege 1–2 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 15 March 2026Antwerp 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 20 October 2025Standard Liege 1–0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 16 March 2025Standard Liege 0–0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and Antwerp

Standard Liege

  • D. Eckert Ayensa4 goals
  • A. Abid3 goals2 assists

Antwerp

  • M. Frey4 goals
  • A. Valencia3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.