KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KVC Westerlo 2-2 Zulte Waregem.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% KVC Westerlo, 30% draw, 33% Zulte Waregem — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
KVC Westerlo at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99A. JungdalG
- 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
- 5S. KimuraD
- 4A. LapageD
- 28D. OuregaD
- 45I. FofanaM
- 12R. LaalaouiM
- 20C. CongreveM
- 14C. SandraM
- 7S. SaitoM
- 9N. BassetteF
- 1B. LathouwersG
- 2L. FloD
- 24M. NdembiD
- 8S. SydorchukM
- 39T. Van den KeybusM
- 17D. Jochem
- 13I. SakamotoF
- 10A. PatraoF
- 11N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
- 1L. BostynG
- 49F. TangalaD
- 4L. LemoineD
- 5J. KiilerichD
- 55Y. CappelleD
- 8T. ClaesM
- 6E. LofolomoM
- 11M. AkeM
- 20T. HedlF
- 18A. EmentaF
- 21Z. AtrokF
- 42A. DobbelsG
- 45B. De Jaegere
- 15Y. MbodjiD
- 24M. SallD
- 36S. UjkaM
- 7N. MituljikicF
- 10M. MbayeF
- 90H. Akpa-ChukwuF
- 53K. VembaF
Form going into KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Lommel United23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Genk15 August 2026
- L1-5Union St. Gilloise8 August 2026
Zulte Waregem
All competitions we cover
- W4-0SK Beveren22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Union St. Gilloise15 August 2026
- W2-1Genk9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem
- 31 January 2026Zulte Waregem 0–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 2 August 2025KVC Westerlo 3–1 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 21 January 2023Zulte Waregem 1–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 1 October 2022KVC Westerlo 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 4 March 2017Zulte Waregem 2–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette80
- S. Saito51
Zulte Waregem
GoalsAssists
- T. Hedl42
- Á. Zalán40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for KVC Westerlo at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: S. Saito 8' for KVC Westerlo, T. Hedl 25' for Zulte Waregem, N. Bassette (penalty) 48' for KVC Westerlo, T. Hedl 63' for Zulte Waregem. On expected goals it finished 2.16–1.51.