Gent vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 2-1 Club Brugge KV.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Gent, 29% draw, 35% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gent at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs Club Brugge KV
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van Der HeydenD
- 14K. WilsonM
- 17M. DelorgeM
- 22L. LopesM
- 20T. AraujoM
- 8L. BenesF
- 11M. SonkoF
- 47J. VergaraF
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 56M. Diallo
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 57M. Volckaert
- 10A. OmgbaM
- 37A. KadriM
- 7M. BalikwishaF
- 59E. H. Seck
- 75I. CisseF
- 1Y. SommerG
- 64K. SabbeD
- 3Lee Han-BeomD
- 44B. MecheleD
- 65J. SeysD
- 8F. PottsM
- 20H. VanakenM
- 9C. ForbsM
- 10H. VetlesenM
- 67M. DiakhonM
- 7N. TresoldiF
- 29N. JackersG
- 41H. SiquetD
- 93W. VerlindenD
- 54S. CoulibalyD
- 16C. TsawaM
- 80F. LemarechalM
- 17R. VermantF
- 77A. VasovicF
- 11J. VirgiliF
Form going into Gent vs Club Brugge KV
Gent
- W2-1away to RAAL La Louvière16 August 2026
Club Brugge KV
- W1-0Cercle Brugge23 August 2026
- W3-0away to OH Leuven15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gent | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gent vs Club Brugge KV
- 30 August 2026Gent 2–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 24 May 2026Club Brugge KV 5–0 GentJupiler Pro League
- 26 April 2026Gent 0–2 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 21 December 2025Club Brugge KV 2–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 31 August 2025Gent 1–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 1 May 2025Club Brugge KV 4–1 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Gent and Club Brugge KV
Gent
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Club Brugge KV
- N. Tresoldi3 goals
- H. Vetlesen3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.