Gent vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 2-1 Club Brugge KV.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Gent, 29% draw, 35% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Gent at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs Club Brugge KV
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van Der HeydenD
- 14K. WilsonM
- 17M. DelorgeM
- 22L. LopesM
- 20T. AraujoM
- 8L. BenesF
- 11M. SonkoF
- 47J. VergaraF
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 56M. Diallo
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 57M. Volckaert
- 10A. OmgbaM
- 37A. KadriM
- 7M. BalikwishaF
- 59E. H. Seck
- 75I. CisseF
- 1Y. SommerG
- 64K. SabbeD
- 3Lee Han-BeomD
- 44B. MecheleD
- 65J. SeysD
- 8F. PottsM
- 20H. VanakenM
- 9C. ForbsM
- 10H. VetlesenM
- 67M. DiakhonM
- 7N. TresoldiF
- 29N. JackersG
- 41H. SiquetD
- 93W. VerlindenD
- 54S. CoulibalyD
- 16C. TsawaM
- 80F. LemarechalM
- 17R. VermantF
- 77A. VasovicF
- 11J. VirgiliF
Form going into Gent vs Club Brugge KV
Gent
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Hibernian27 August 2026
- D0-0Hibernian20 August 2026
- W2-1away to RAAL La Louvière16 August 2026
- D1-1IFK Goteborg13 August 2026
- W2-0KV Mechelen9 August 2026
Club Brugge KV
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Cercle Brugge23 August 2026
- W3-0away to OH Leuven15 August 2026
- W3-0Kortrijk7 August 2026
What these results say
- Gent went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 9 | +18 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gent vs Club Brugge KV
- 24 May 2026Club Brugge KV 5–0 GentJupiler Pro League
- 26 April 2026Gent 0–2 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 21 December 2025Club Brugge KV 2–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 31 August 2025Gent 1–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 1 May 2025Club Brugge KV 4–1 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Gent and Club Brugge KV
Gent
GoalsAssists
- I. Cisse40
Club Brugge KV
GoalsAssists
- N. Tresoldi81
- H. Vetlesen51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gent beat Club Brugge KV 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Gent at 36%. The goals: J. Vergara 38' for Gent, H. Vanaken 40' for Club Brugge KV, I. Cisse 85' for Gent. Sent off: C. Forbs (Club Brugge KV) 70', I. Cisse (Gent) 90+4'. On expected goals it finished 1.38–0.65.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.