Brondby vs Silkeborg Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Brondby 3-1 Silkeborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Brondby, 25% draw, 20% Silkeborg — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brondby vs Silkeborg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Patrick PentzG
- 2Oliver VilladsenD
- 30Jordi VanlerbergheD
- 4Luis BinksD
- 27Mats KöhlertD
- 99Bartosz SliszM
- 18Max EjdumM
- 21Marcus YounisM
- 29Mads FrøkjærM
- 7Olti HyseniM
- 51Oskar FengerF
- 11Filip BundgaardF
- 9Patrick MortensenF
- 24Marko DivkovićD
- 19Sho FukudaF
- 32Frederik AlvesD
- 50William Sonne-SchmidtG
- 37Raphael CanutD
- 3Christopher OlivierD
- 10Daniel WassM
- 1Aske AndrésenG
- 24Alexander PriesborgD
- 3Robin ØstrømD
- 29William MøllerD
- 7Villads WesthM
- 20Mads LarsenM
- 17Callum McCowattM
- 19Jens Martin GammelbyM
- 21Lucas RiisgaardF
- 11Oliver RossF
- 22Rami Al HajjF
- 4Pedro GanchasD
- 27William KirkM
- 9Alexander SimmelhackF
- 14Sofus BergerM
- 10Younes BakizM
- 16Bastian HolmG
- 2Andreas PoulsenD
- 36Julius LorentsM
- 23Malthe HansenF
Form going into Brondby vs Silkeborg
Brondby
- W3-2Sonderjyske17 August 2026
Silkeborg
- L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brondby vs Silkeborg
- 24 August 2026Brondby 0–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 6 March 2026Brondby 2–0 SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs
- 2 November 2025Silkeborg 0–2 BrondbySuperliga
- 20 July 2025Brondby 3–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 7 May 2025Silkeborg 2–1 BrondbyDBU Pokalen
- 30 April 2025Brondby 3–3 SilkeborgDBU Pokalen
Leading scorers: Brondby and Silkeborg
Brondby
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen2 goals1 assists
Silkeborg
- C. McCowatt2 goals2 assists
- O. Ross2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.