4 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Malta vs Andorra UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Ta'Qali National Stadium, Takali
Referee: Mikkel Redder, Denmark
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Malta 1-0 Andorra.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Malta, 31% draw, 26% Andorra — fair odds of 2.33, 3.23 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Malta at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Malta98%Draw2%Andorra0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Enrico Pepe
7'
🔁Enrico Pepeout: Gabriel Bohrer Mentz
45'
⚽Teddy Teumaassist: Ylyas Chouaref
49'
🔁Teddy Teumaout: Paul Mbong
56'
69'
Ot Planes
70'
🔁Alexandre Martínezout: Jordi Aláez
🔁Joseph Mbongout: Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
72'
🔁Juan Corbalanout: Zach Muscat
72'
79'
Aron Rodrigo
84'
🔁Moisés San Nicolásout: Christian Garcia
🔁Ylyas Chouarefout: Andrea Zammit
85'
Alexander·Satariano
86'
89'
Christian Garcia

Match stats — Malta vs Andorra

55%Possession45%
12Shots12
6On target3
6Corners5

Line-ups

Malta 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. BonelloG
  • 21J. CorbalanD
  • 5K. ShawD
  • 13E. PepeD
  • 3R. CamenzuliD
  • 6B. PaiberM
  • 23A. SatarianoM
  • 7J. MbongM
  • 10T. TeumaM
  • 20I. ChouarefM
  • 11I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 17J. AzzopardiM
  • 2J. BorgD
  • 15M. BeermanD
  • 9K. CannavòF
  • 19K. EwurumF
  • 8P. MbongF
  • 22Z. MuscatD
  • 14A. ZammitF
  • 16R. Al TumiG
Coach: E. De Leo
Andorra 4-4-2
  • 12Iker ÁlvarezG
  • 2Biel BorraD
  • 5Max LloveraD
  • 22Ian OliveraD
  • 15Moisés San NicolásD
  • 7Alexandre MartínezM
  • 23Ot PlanesM
  • 3Pau BabotM
  • 17Aron RodrigoM
  • 11Albert RosasF
  • 10G. LópezF
Substitutes
  • 21M. GarciaM
  • 4Christian GarcíaD
  • 14Jordi AláezM
  • 1Josep GómesG
  • 6Kiko PomaresD
  • 18J. RubioD
  • 16João TeixeiraM
  • 8Eric ValesM
  • 20Izan FernándezF
Coach: Koldo

Form going into Malta vs Andorra

Malta

UEFA Nations League

  • D1-1Gibraltar1 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Andorra24 September 2026

Andorra

UEFA Nations League

  • D0-0away to Gibraltar27 September 2026
  • L1-2Malta24 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Malta321042+27
2Andorra41123304

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malta vs Andorra

  • 24 September 2026Andorra 1–2 MaltaUEFA Nations League
  • 19 November 2024Malta 0–0 AndorraUEFA Nations League
  • 10 September 2024Andorra 0–1 MaltaUEFA Nations League
  • 14 November 2020Malta 3–1 AndorraUEFA Nations League
  • 10 October 2020Andorra 0–0 MaltaUEFA Nations League

The full Malta vs Andorra record →

The result against the call

Malta beat Andorra 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Malta at 43%. The goal: Teddy Teuma 49' for Malta.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.